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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac Pick, 11/19/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 65 Odds

Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac Pick, 11/19/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 65 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/13/2022

Serghei Spivac UFC

Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac

UFC Vegas 65

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 19, 2022

Derrick Lewis will take on Serghei Spivac at UFC Vegas 65 on Saturday, November 19, 2022. The opening odds have Lewis coming in at +150 while Spivac is priced at -175.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis looks to add a win to his total of 26-10-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old tips the scales at 260 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 15-3-0. The 27-year-old stretches 78". With respect to significant strikes, Derrick Lewis is landing 2.57 per minute while Serghei Spivac connects on 3.79 significant strikes per minute. Lewis is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Spivac is landing 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Black Beast" absorbs 2.57 significant strikes per min while "Polar Bear" absorbs 2.96. Lewis also thwarts 41% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Spivac deflects 55% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 65 Derrick Lewis Serghei Spivac
Opening Odds +150 -175
Record 26-10-0 (1 NC) 15-3-0
Average Fight Time 9:02 8:34
Height 6'3" 6'3"
Weight 260 lbs 260 lbs
Reach 79" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.57 3.79
Striking Accuracy 50% 51%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Derrick Lewis is the not as competent as a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Lewis is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his tries and defending 55% of the tries against him. Spivac is finishing his takedown tries on 63% of the takedowns he tries and defending 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Lewis is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes while Spivac looks to get 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Derrick Lewis went up against Sergei Pavlovich and ended up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 1. Pavlovich landed 15 of 24 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Lewis ended the night having landed 4 of 6 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Pavlovich ended up landing 15 of 24, which gave him a rate of 62%. He finished the fight landing 15 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lewis ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 4 of 6. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 4 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Pavlovich and 100% of them connected on by Lewis were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Serghei Spivac, he fought Augusto Sakai and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Sakai connected on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Spivac ended up connecting on 27% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Spivac ended up connecting on 67% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 33 of 49. He landed 33 of 49 significant strikes aimed at the head. Sakai ended up connecting on 8 of 23 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 1 of 14 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Sakai landed 14 of 29 while Spivac connected on 86 of 119 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kennedy Nzechukwu opposes Ion Cutelaba. Nzechukwu holds a record of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands 6'5". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 83". Cutelaba stands 6'1" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 16-8-1 (1 NC). The 28-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding grappling, Kennedy Nzechukwu takes his opponents down 0.79 times per 3 rds while Ion Cutelaba gets a takedown 4.68 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Nzechukwu connects on 4.68 strikes/min and is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Ion Cutelaba, who is connecting on 42% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.61 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Waldo Cortes-Acosta is set to clash with Chase Sherman. Sherman looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-10-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 250 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Cortes-Acosta measures in at 6'4" and is fighting at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-0-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 78". Regarding takedowns, Chase Sherman curbs 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his attempts. Cortes-Acosta is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his tries and stops 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Sherman is taking 6.51 strikes/minute and he lands 6.51 strikes per min. Cortes-Acosta, in contrast, is absorbing 3.80 strikes per min and connects on 6.21 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Derrick Lewis (+150)

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