Davey Grant vs Louis Smolka Pick, 5/14/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 54 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/10/2022

ufc picks Davey Grant predictions best bet odds

Davey Grant vs Louis Smolka

UFC Vegas 54

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Davey Grant will face off against Louis Smolka at UFC Vegas 54 on . The moneyline has Grant at -265 while Smolka is priced at +215.

Davey "Dangerous" Grant walks into the cage with a record of 13-6-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Louis "Da Last Samurai" Smolka comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 17-8-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 68". In terms of significant strikes, Davey Grant lands 4.55 per min while Louis Smolka is landing 4.54 significant strikes per minute. Grant is landing 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Smolka is connecting on 47%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Dangerous" allows 3.75 significant strikes per min and "Da Last Samurai" takes 3.87. Grant also curbs 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Smolka deflects 52% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 54	Davey Grant	Louis Smolka
Opening Odds	-265	+215
Record	13-6-0	17-8-0
Average Fight Time	11:18	9:19
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.55	4.54
Striking Accuracy	44%	47%

Concerning grappling, Davey Grant is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.77 times per 3 rds. Grant is finishing his takedown attempts on 44% of his attempts and is stuffing 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Smolka is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of the takedowns he tries and defending 31% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Grant is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Smolka tries 1.9 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Davey Grant faced Adrian Yanez and wound up taking the loss via split decision in round 3. Yanez landed 100 of 255 total strikes that he let go. Grant finished this fight landing 98 of 274 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Yanez landed 100 of 255, giving him a percentage of 39%. He finished the fight landing 66 of 212 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Grant landed 35% of his significant strikes by landing 98 of 273. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 40 of 182 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Yanez and 100% of them connected on by Grant were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Louis Smolka, he squared up with Vince Morales and took a loss on the night by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Morales landed 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Smolka ended up connecting on 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Smolka ended up connecting on 71% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 23 of 32. He connected on 5 of 14 significant strikes directed at the head. Morales connected on 27 of 49 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 16 of 34 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Morales was 27 of 50 while Smolka ended up connecting on 23 of 32 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Frank Camacho takes on Manuel Torres. Camacho walks into the Octagon holding a record of 22-9-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Torres comes in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 73". When it comes to grappling, Frank Camacho is able to score a takedown 1.17 times per 15 minutes and Manuel Torres gets a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Camacho lands an average of 6.67 strikes/min and connects on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Manuel Torres, who tags the opposition on 59% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 11.54 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Allan Nascimento is set to square up against Jake Hadley. Hadley looks to add a win to his record of 8-0-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Nascimento stands 5'8" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 18-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 69". In terms of wrestling, Jake Hadley defends against 33% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 80% of his tries. Nascimento is finishing his takedowns on 9% of his tries and is able to deflect 16% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Hadley absorbs 2.57 strikes per minute and he deals 3.18 per min. Nascimento, at the same time, is taking 3.30 strikes/min and connects on 4.33 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Davey Grant (-265)

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Davey Grant vs Louis Smolka Pick, 5/14/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 54 Odds

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