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Darren Elkins vs Tristan Connelly Pick, 4/30/2022 Predictions UFC Vegas 53 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/26/2022

ufc picks Darren Elkins predictions best bet odds

Darren Elkins vs Tristan Connelly

UFC Vegas 53

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 30, 2022

Darren Elkins will face off with Tristan Connelly at UFC Vegas 53 on Saturday, April 30, 2022. The line has Elkins priced at -155 while Connelly is coming in at +135.

Darren "The Damage" Elkins will be looking to add a victory to his total of 27-10-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Tristan "Boondock" Connelly measures 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-7-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 68". In the category of significant strikes, Darren Elkins connects on 3.44 per minute and Tristan Connelly is landing 2.77 significant strikes per min. Elkins lands 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Connelly is connecting on 47%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Damage" absorbs 3.09 significant strikes per min while "Boondock" allows 1.93. Elkins also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Connelly deflects 51% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 53 Darren Elkins Tristan Connelly
Opening Odds -155 +135
Record 27-10-0 14-7-0
Average Fight Time 11:33 15:00
Height 5'10" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.44 2.77
Striking Accuracy 38% 47%

 

Regarding wrestling, Darren Elkins is the more skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.65 times per 3 rds. Elkins is taking his opponents to the canvas on 32% of the times he tries and defending 56% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Connelly is getting his opponent to the mat on 14% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 70% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Elkins is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 1.1 subs per 15 min while Connelly goes for 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Darren Elkins faced Cub Swanson and ended up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Swanson landed 18 of 30 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Elkins walked away from this fight having landed 5 of 22 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Swanson landed 18 of 30, which gave him a percentage of 60%. He ended up landing 16 of 28 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Elkins landed 10% of his significant strikes by sticking 2 of 19. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 18 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Swanson and 100% of them landed by Elkins were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tristan Connelly, he went up against Pat Sabatini and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Sabatini ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Connelly landed 73% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Connelly ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 19 of 50. He ended up connecting on 10 of 41 significant strikes directed at the head. Sabatini ended up landing 26 of 45 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 18 of 36 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Sabatini landed 73 of 98 while Connelly landed 87 of 125 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Krzysztof Jotko squares up against Gerald Meerschaert. Jotko will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-5-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 77". Meerschaert measures 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 34-14-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 77". In the grappling category, Krzysztof Jotko scores a takedown 1.15 times per 15 minutes while Gerald Meerschaert takes his opponents to the mat 2.42 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Jotko is landing 2.92 strikes per min and is connecting on 41% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Gerald Meerschaert, who is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws and lands 3.11 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Francisco Figueiredo is set to face off against Daniel Da Silva. Da Silva looks to add a victory to his total of 11-2-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Figueiredo stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 12-4-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old extends his reach 68". In the category of takedowns, Daniel Da Silva is able to stop 10% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 10% of his attempts. Figueiredo is finishing his takedowns on 75% of his tries and is able to stop 87% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Da Silva takes 8.15 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 3.47 per minute. Figueiredo, at the same time, is absorbing 2.57 strikes/minute and is connecting on 1.90 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Darren Elkins (-155)

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