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Dan Hooker vs Claudio Puelles Pick, 11/12/2022 Predictions UFC 281 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/8/2022

ufc picks Claudio Puelles predictions best bet odds

Dan Hooker vs Claudio Puelles

UFC 281

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Dan Hooker will face off against Claudio Puelles at UFC 281 on Saturday, November 12, 2022. The line has Hooker priced at -156 while Puelles is coming in at +136.

Dan "The Hangman" Hooker walks into the Octagon with a record of 21-12-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 75". Claudio "Prince of Peru" Puelles measures in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Dan Hooker is connecting on 4.91 per minute and Claudio Puelles is connecting on 1.99 significant strikes per min. Hooker is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts and Puelles lands 51%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Hangman" absorbs 4.81 significant strikes per minute and "Prince of Peru" absorbs 2.89. Hooker also stops 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Puelles deflects 46% of them.

 

UFC 281 Dan Hooker Claudio Puelles
Opening Odds -156 +136
Record 21-12-0 13-2-0
Average Fight Time 9:46 10:57
Height 6'0" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 75" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.91 1.99
Striking Accuracy 47% 51%

 

Regarding takedowns, Dan Hooker is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.89 times per 3 rounds. Hooker is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of the times he tries and stopping 78% of all takedown attempts. Puelles is taking his opponents down on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the sub, Hooker is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Puelles goes for 1.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Dan Hooker faced Arnold Allen and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Allen ended up landing 50 of 85 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Hooker ended the night having landed 14 of 49 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Allen ended up landing 49 of 84, which means his percentage was 58%. He landed 43 of 78 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Hooker ended up landing 28% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 14 of 49. Of those significant strikes, he was 11 of 44 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Allen and 100% of them landed by Hooker were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Claudio Puelles, he battled Clay Guida and wound up getting the win via a kneebar from bottom guard in round 1. Guida ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Puelles landed 0% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Puelles ended up connecting on 33% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 1 of 3. He ended up connecting on 1 of 2 significant strikes aimed at the head. Guida connected on 3 of 4 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 2 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Guida landed 4 of 6 and Puelles ended up connecting on 11 of 13 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Brad Riddell faces off with Renato Moicano. Riddell looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Moicano measures 5'11" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-5-1. The 33-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Brad Riddell is averaging a takedown 1.85 times per 15 minutes and Renato Moicano gets a takedown 1.70 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Riddell connects on 4.73 strikes per minute and is landing 53% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Renato Moicano, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.80 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ryan Spann is set to battle Dominick Reyes. Reyes will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures 6'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Spann stands 6'5" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 20-7-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 79". Concerning wrestling, Dominick Reyes is able to thwart 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 28% of his tries. Spann is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his tries and prevents 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Reyes is taking 3.73 strikes per min while he is landing 4.77 per minute. Spann, on the other hand, is taking 3.41 strikes/min and is dealing 3.35 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Claudio Puelles (+136)

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