Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal Pick, 3/5/2022 Predictions UFC 272 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/1/2022

ufc picks Colby Covington predictions best bet odds

Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal

UFC 272

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 5, 2022

Colby Covington will enter the Octagon against Jorge Masvidal at UFC 272 on Saturday, March 5, 2022. The opening odds have Covington coming in at -320 while Masvidal is priced at +250.

Colby "Chaos" Covington steps into the Octagon with a mark of 16-3-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal measures 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 35-15-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Colby Covington connects on 4.14 per minute while Jorge Masvidal is landing 4.22 significant strikes per minute. Covington is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Masvidal is landing 48%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Chaos" takes 3.09 significant strikes per min while "Gamebred" allows 3.01. Covington also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Masvidal curbs 65% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC 272	Colby Covington	Jorge Masvidal
Opening Odds	-320	+250
Record	16-3-0	35-15-0
Average Fight Time	15:57	13:05
Height	5'11"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.14	4.22
Striking Accuracy	38%	48%

Regarding grappling, Colby Covington is the more apt grappler as he is able to score a takedown 4.10 times per 3 rds. Covington is scoring a takedown on 46% of his attempts and stopping 72% of all takedown attempts. Masvidal is finishing his takedown attempts on 59% of his takedown tries and stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Covington is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Masvidal tries 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Colby Covington faced Kamaru Usman and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 5. Usman landed 158 of 336 total strikes attempted in that contest. Covington finished this fight landing 119 of 298 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Usman landed 123 of 293, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He ended up landing 80 of 241 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Covington landed 38% of his significant strikes by connecting on 107 of 281. Of those significant strikes, he was 79 of 242 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Usman and 94% of them landed by Covington were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Jorge Masvidal, he fought Kamaru Usman and walked away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 2. Usman landed 57% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Masvidal ended up landing 87% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Masvidal connected on 59% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 31 of 52. He landed 13 of 33 significant strikes aimed at the head. Usman ended up connecting on 21 of 40 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 15 of 32 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Usman landed 32 of 54 and Masvidal ended up connecting on 56 of 79 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Rafael Dos Anjos opposes Rafael Fiziev. Dos Anjos steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 30-13-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Fiziev comes in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a record of 11-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 71". In terms of takedowns, Rafael Dos Anjos scores a takedown 1.93 times per 3 rounds while Rafael Fiziev scores a takedown 0.48 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Dos Anjos connects on 3.49 strikes per min and connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Rafael Fiziev, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 5.35 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bryce Mitchell is set to square up against Edson Barboza. Barboza holds a mark of 22-10-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Mitchell stands in at 5'10" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 14-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 70". In terms of wrestling, Edson Barboza thwarts 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 44% of his tries. Mitchell is taking his opponents down on 46% of the tries he takes and thwarts 33% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Barboza is taking 4.19 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 4.11 strikes per min. Mitchell, in contrast, absorbs 1.46 strikes/minute and deals 2.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colby Covington (-320)

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Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal Pick, 3/5/2022 Predictions UFC 272 Odds

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