Bryce Mitchell vs Ilia Topuria Pick, 12/10/2022 Predictions UFC 282 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/6/2022

ufc picks Ilia Topuria predictions best bet odds

Bryce Mitchell vs Ilia Topuria

UFC 282

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 10, 2022

Bryce Mitchell will enter the Octagon against Ilia Topuria at UFC 282 on Saturday, December 10, 2022. The odds have Mitchell at +126 while Topuria is coming in at -162.

Bryce "Thug Nasty" Mitchell comes into this bout with a record of 15-1-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Ilia "El Matador" Topuria measures 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 12-0-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding significant strikes, Bryce Mitchell is connecting on 2.28 per minute while Ilia Topuria lands 2.87 significant strikes per minute. Mitchell is landing 63% of the significant strikes he tries while Topuria is landing 48%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Thug Nasty" takes 1.39 significant strikes per minute while "El Matador" allows 2.28. Mitchell also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Topuria is able to thwart 64% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC 282	Bryce Mitchell	Ilia Topuria
Opening Odds	+126	-162
Record	15-1-0	12-0-0
Average Fight Time	13:13	7:08
Height	5'10"	5'7"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.28	2.87
Striking Accuracy	63%	48%

In terms of wrestling, Bryce Mitchell is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 3.40 times per 3 rounds. Mitchell is scoring a takedown on 52% of his tries and is stuffing 33% of all takedowns attempted on him. Topuria is finishing his takedowns on 46% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 85% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Mitchell is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 1.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Topuria looks to get 2.6 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Bryce Mitchell went up against Edson Barboza and took home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Barboza landed 23 of 46 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Mitchell finished this fight landing 182 of 209 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Barboza ended up landing 16 of 37, which gave him a rate of 43%. He finished the fight landing 3 of 17 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Mitchell landed 72% of his significant strikes by sticking 34 of 47. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 40 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Barboza and 26% of them landed by Mitchell were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Ilia Topuria, he fought Jai Herbert and took home the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Herbert ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Topuria ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Topuria connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 20 of 41. He landed 17 of 37 significant strikes directed at the head. Herbert landed 22 of 63 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 20 of 60 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Herbert ended up landing 50 of 94 while Topuria was 31 of 55 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jairzinho Rozenstruik goes up against Chris Daukaus. Rozenstruik walks into the cage holding a record of 12-4-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 242 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Daukaus measures 6'3" and weighs in at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-5-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Regarding grappling, Jairzinho Rozenstruik takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Chris Daukaus scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Rozenstruik connects for an average of 2.80 strikes/min and is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Chris Daukaus, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 6.47 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jay Perrin is set to square up against Raul Rosas Jr.. Rosas Jr. holds a mark of 6-0-0. The 18-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 67". Perrin stands 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 10-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 67". In terms of grappling, Raul Rosas Jr. is able to stop 15% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 60% of the times he tries. Perrin is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of his attempts and thwarts 64% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Rosas Jr. is absorbing 0.80 strikes per minute and he connects on 1.33 strikes/minute. Perrin, moreover, is taking 4.07 strikes/min and lands 3.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Bryce Mitchell (+126)

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Bryce Mitchell vs Ilia Topuria Pick, 12/10/2022 Predictions UFC 282 Odds

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