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Bryan Barberena vs Rafael Dos Anjos Pick, 12/3/2022 Predictions UFC Orlando Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/28/2022

ufc picks Rafael dos Anjos predictions best bet odds

Bryan Barberena vs Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC Orlando

Amway Center in Orlando, FL

Saturday, December 3, 2022

Bryan Barberena will take on Rafael Dos Anjos at UFC Orlando on Saturday, December 3, 2022. The opening line has Barberena at +420 while Anjos is at -540.

Bryan "Bam Bam" Barberena holds a record of 18-8-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Rafael Dos Anjos stands 5'8" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 31-14-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 70". In the category of significant strikes, Bryan Barberena is landing 6.11 per min while Rafael Dos Anjos lands 3.58 significant strikes per min. Barberena lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Dos Anjos connects on 46%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Bam Bam" allows 5.01 significant strikes per minute and Dos Anjos absorbs 3.23. Barberena also thwarts 44% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Dos Anjos is able to deflect 61% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Orlando Bryan Barberena Rafael Dos Anjos
Opening Odds +420 -540
Record 18-8-0 31-14-0
Average Fight Time 12:20 14:48
Height 6'0" 5'8"
Weight 170 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.11 3.58
Striking Accuracy 48% 46%

 

In the grappling category, Bryan Barberena is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.16 times per 3 rds. Barberena is scoring a takedown on 25% of his tries and stuffing 55% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Dos Anjos is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 59% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Barberena is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Dos Anjos attempts 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Bryan Barberena went up against Robbie Lawler and took home the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Lawler ended up landing 81 of 141 total strikes attempted in that fight. Barberena finished this fight landing 148 of 317 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Lawler landed 81 of 141, giving him a percentage of 57%. He landed 65 of 124 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Barberena ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 147 of 316. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 116 of 280 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Lawler and 93% of them connected on by Barberena were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Rafael Dos Anjos, he squared up with Rafael Fiziev and wound up taking the loss by a punch to the head in round 5. Fiziev ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Anjos connected on 92% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Anjos ended up landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 54 of 110. He ended up connecting on 31 of 80 significant strikes directed at the head. Fiziev ended up connecting on 64 of 159 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 32 of 102 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Fiziev landed 92 of 192 while Anjos landed 90 of 162 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Matheus Nicolau goes up against Matt Schnell. Nicolau will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-3-1. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Schnell stands 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding grappling, Matheus Nicolau takes his opponents to the canvas 1.46 times per 3 rds and Matt Schnell takes his opponents to the canvas 0.68 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Nicolau is connecting on 3.64 strikes/minute and connecting on 52% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Matt Schnell, who is connecting on 39% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.34 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Sergei Pavlovich is set to square up with Tai Tuivasa. Tuivasa looks to add a victory to his record of 15-4-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Pavlovich measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 257 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 16-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 84". In terms of wrestling, Tai Tuivasa is able to stop 52% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts. Pavlovich is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries and is able to curb 66% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Tuivasa absorbs 4.24 strikes/minute and he is dealing 4.12 per min. Pavlovich, at the same time, is absorbing 4.44 strikes per min and deals 6.83 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Rafael Dos Anjos (-540)

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