Brian Kelleher vs Umar Nurmagomedov Pick, 3/5/2022 Predictions UFC 272 Odds
Brian Kelleher vs Umar Nurmagomedov
UFC 272
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, March 5, 2022
Brian Kelleher will enter the Octagon against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC 272 on Saturday, March 5, 2022. The odds have Kelleher at +500 while Nurmagomedov is priced at -720.
Brian "Boom" Kelleher walks into the Octagon holding a record of 24-12-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures 5'6". The switch fighter reaches 66". Umar Nurmagomedov Nurmagomedov measures 5'8" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old stretches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Brian Kelleher is connecting on 3.49 per min while Umar Nurmagomedov connects on 2.89 significant strikes per minute. Kelleher connects on 41% of the significant strikes he throws while Nurmagomedov is connecting on 60%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Boom" allows 4.63 significant strikes per minute while Nurmagomedov allows 0.81. Kelleher also defends 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Nurmagomedov defends against 76% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 272 | Brian Kelleher | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +500 | -720 |
| Record | 24-12-0 | 13-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:15 | 8:39 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.49 | 2.89 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 60% |
When it comes to wrestling, Brian Kelleher is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.87 times per 15 min. Kelleher is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of his attempts and is defending 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Nurmagomedov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 10% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Kelleher is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.8 subs per 15 min while Nurmagomedov attempts 1.7 subs per 3 rounds.
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The last time he fought, Brian Kelleher squared up with Kevin Croom and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Croom ended up landing 83 of 206 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Kelleher walked away from this fight having landed 67 of 123 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Croom landed 60 of 174, giving him a percentage of 34%. He landed 36 of 141 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Kelleher landed 49% of his significant strikes by connecting on 38 of 77. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 25 of 58 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Croom and 65% of them connected on by Kelleher were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Umar Nurmagomedov, he fought Sergey Morozov and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Morozov ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Nurmagomedov landed 72% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nurmagomedov ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 25 of 41. He connected on 14 of 25 significant strikes directed at the head. Morozov ended up landing 7 of 30 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 20 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Morozov was 8 of 31 and Nurmagomedov connected on 32 of 48 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tim Elliott squares up with Tagir Ulanbekov. Elliott walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-12-1. The 35-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Ulanbekov comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Tim Elliott takes his opponents to the mat 3.79 times per 15 min and Tagir Ulanbekov is able to score a takedown 4.50 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Elliott lands an average of 3.45 strikes per minute and is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Tagir Ulanbekov, who is connecting on 39% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 2.13 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Ludovit Klein is set to enter the Octagon against Devonte Smith. Smith steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Klein stands 5'7" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 17-4-0. The 27-year-old reaches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Devonte Smith is able to stop 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 80% of his tries. Klein is finishing his takedowns on 44% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 50% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Smith is absorbing 3.86 strikes/minute while he connects on 5.10 per min. Klein, on the contrary, is taking 4.58 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.35 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Umar Nurmagomedov (-720)
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