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Alexandre Pantoja vs Alex Perez Pick, 7/30/2022 Predictions UFC 277 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/26/2022

ufc picks Alex Perez predictions best bet odds

Alexandre Pantoja vs Alex Perez

UFC 277

American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

Saturday, July 30, 2022

Alexandre Pantoja will battle Alex Perez at UFC 277 on Saturday, July 30, 2022. The opening line has Pantoja priced at -170 while Perez is coming in at +145.

Alexandre "The Cannibal" Pantoja comes into this bout with a record of 24-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Alex Perez stands in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 24-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Alexandre Pantoja is landing 4.24 per minute and Alex Perez lands 4.62 significant strikes per min. Pantoja lands 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Perez is landing 47%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Cannibal" allows 3.34 significant strikes per minute while Perez absorbs 3.08. Pantoja also thwarts 55% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Perez stops 61% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 277 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez
Opening Odds -170 +145
Record 24-5-0 24-6-0
Average Fight Time 10:48 6:17
Height 5'5" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 67" 65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.24 4.62
Striking Accuracy 48% 47%

 

In terms of grappling, Alexandre Pantoja is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.26 times per 3 rounds. Pantoja is scoring a takedown on 38% of his tries and thwarting 67% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Perez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 87% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Pantoja is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.1 subs per 15 minutes while Perez attempts 1.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Alexandre Pantoja faced Brandon Royval and wound up taking home the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Royval ended up landing 27 of 79 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Pantoja walked away from this fight having landed 23 of 41 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Royval ended up landing 17 of 61, which means his percentage was 27%. He landed 12 of 53 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Pantoja landed 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 22 of 40. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 19 of 37 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Royval and 95% of them landed by Pantoja were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Alex Perez, he battled Deiveson Figueiredo and wound up losing the fight via guillotine choke in round 1. Figueiredo landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Perez connected on 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Perez ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 6 of 14. He connected on 3 of 9 significant strikes aimed at the head. Figueiredo ended up connecting on 5 of 8 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 4 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Figueiredo connected on 5 of 8 and Perez was 6 of 14 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Magomed Ankalaev faces off with Anthony Smith. Ankalaev looks to add a win to his career total of 17-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Smith stands 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 36-16-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 76". In terms of takedowns, Magomed Ankalaev takes his opponents down 1.01 times per 15 min while Anthony Smith takes his opponents down 0.46 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Ankalaev is landing 3.49 strikes/minute and connecting on 54% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Anthony Smith, who lands 47% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 3.03 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Matthew Semelsberger is set to enter the Octagon with Alex Morono. Morono walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Semelsberger stands in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding wrestling, Alex Morono is able to defend against 53% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the times he tries. Semelsberger is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his tries and deflects 42% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Morono absorbs 3.93 strikes/min and he dishes out 5.21 per min. Semelsberger, on the contrary, takes 4.55 strikes/minute and is connecting on 5.01 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Alexandre Pantoja (-170)

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