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AJ Dobson vs Jacob Malkoun Pick, 2/12/2022 Predictions UFC 271 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/8/2022

ufc picks AJ Dobson predictions best bet odds

AJ Dobson vs Jacob Malkoun

UFC 271

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 12, 2022

AJ Dobson will battle Jacob Malkoun at UFC 271 on Saturday, February 12, 2022. The line has Dobson at -120 while Malkoun is priced at +100.

AJ Dobson looks to add a win to his record of 6-0-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Jacob "Mamba" Malkoun measures in at 5'9" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 5-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 73". Concerning significant strikes, AJ Dobson connects on 8.97 per minute and Jacob Malkoun is connecting on 1.76 significant strikes per min. Dobson is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he attempts while Malkoun is landing 47%. When it comes to defending themselves, Dobson absorbs 1.84 significant strikes per minute and "Mamba" allows 1.83. Dobson also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Malkoun prevents 51% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC 271 AJ Dobson Jacob Malkoun
Opening Odds -120 +100
Record 6-0-0 5-1-0
Average Fight Time 4:21 7:39
Height 6'1" 5'9"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 76" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.97 1.76
Striking Accuracy 56% 47%

 

Regarding wrestling, AJ Dobson is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 3.45 times per 15 minutes. Dobson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts and is defending 20% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Malkoun is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his takedown attempts and is defending 20% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Dobson is the more skilled fighter by going for 3.5 submissions per 3 rds while Malkoun attempts 2.0 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, AJ Dobson went up against Hashem Arkhagha and wound up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Arkhagha ended up landing 10 of 20 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Dobson walked away from this fight having landed 49 of 79 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Arkhagha landed 8 of 18, which gave him a rate of 44%. He ended up landing 7 of 17 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dobson ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 39 of 69. Of all the significant strikes, he was 37 of 66 to the head. 62% of the significant strikes landed by Arkhagha and 33% of them landed by Dobson were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Jacob Malkoun, he went up against Abdul Razak Alhassan and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Alhassan landed 66% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Malkoun connected on 66% of his significant strikes at distance. Malkoun landed 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 27 of 55. He landed 24 of 51 significant strikes to the head. Alhassan ended up landing 21 of 47 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 11 of 33 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Alhassan was 32 of 59 while Malkoun ended up connecting on 91 of 135 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Douglas Silva de Andrade squares up against Sergey Morozov. Silva de Andrade walks into the Octagon with a mark of 27-4-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Morozov stands 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old reaches 67". In the grappling category, Douglas Silva de Andrade is averaging a takedown 0.69 times per 15 minutes while Sergey Morozov takes his opponents to the mat 3.81 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Silva de Andrade lands an average of 3.79 strikes/minute and connecting on 38% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Sergey Morozov, who is landing 42% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 2.41 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Casey O'Neill is set to enter the Octagon with Roxanne Modafferi. Modafferi looks to add a win to her total of 25-20-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". O'Neill stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 8-0-0. The 24-year-old extends her reach 69". In terms of grappling, Roxanne Modafferi is able to curb 25% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 21% of her tries. O'Neill is taking her opponents down on 50% of her tries and is able to thwart 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Modafferi absorbs 4.92 strikes per minute and she is dealing 2.97 strikes/minute. O'Neill, notwithstanding, is taking 3.09 strikes per min and connects on 5.48 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jacob Malkoun (+100)

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