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Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs Jerome Rivera Pick, 7/10/2021 Predictions UFC 264 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/6/2021

ufc picks Jerome Rivera predictions best bet odds

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Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs Jerome Rivera

UFC 264

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 10, 2021

Zhalgas Zhumagulov will enter the Octagon against Jerome Rivera at UFC 264 on Saturday, July 10, 2021. The odds have Zhumagulov at -385 while Rivera is coming in at +290.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov walks into the cage with a mark of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The switch fighter extends his reach 66". Jerome "Renegade" Rivera stands in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 10-5-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Zhalgas Zhumagulov is connecting on 4.17 per min and Jerome Rivera lands 3.08 significant strikes per minute. Zhumagulov connects on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Rivera connects on 34%. Regarding defending in the cage, Zhumagulov takes 4.00 significant strikes per minute and "Renegade" allows 2.47. Zhumagulov also defends against 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Rivera defends against 51% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC 264 Zhalgas Zhumagulov Jerome Rivera
Opening Odds -385 +290
Record 13-5-0 10-5-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 9:00
Height 5'4" 5'10"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 66" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.17 3.08
Striking Accuracy 49% 34%

 

In the grappling category, Zhalgas Zhumagulov is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.50 times per 3 rds. Zhumagulov is finishing his takedown attempts on 21% of the times he tries and is stuffing 33% of all takedown attempts. Rivera is taking his opponents down on 30% of his takedown tries and is defending 40% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Zhumagulov is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Rivera looks to get 0.4 subs per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Zhalgas Zhumagulov faced Amir Albazi and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Albazi ended up landing 94 of 200 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Zhumagulov walked away from this fight having landed 74 of 150 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Albazi ended up landing 68 of 169, which gave him a rate of 40%. He landed 40 of 128 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Zhumagulov landed 44% of his significant strikes by landing 59 of 132. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 22 of 84 to the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Albazi and 98% of them connected on by Zhumagulov were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jerome Rivera, he fought Ode Osbourne and took a loss on the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Osbourne ended up connecting on 20% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Rivera ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Rivera connected on 66% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 2 of 3. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes aimed at the head. Osbourne ended up connecting on 5 of 6 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 6 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Osbourne connected on 5 of 6 while Rivera landed 2 of 3 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jennifer Maia squares up with Jessica Eye. Maia walks into the cage with a mark of 18-7-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Eye stands 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her record of 15-9-0. The 34-year-old stretches 66". In the grappling category, Jennifer Maia is able to score a takedown 0.34 times per 15 min and Jessica Eye takes her opponents to the canvas 0.45 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Maia connects for an average of 3.34 strikes/min and landing 39% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Jessica Eye, who is landing 37% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 3.76 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Yana Kunitskaya is set to fight Irene Aldana. Aldana will be looking to add a victory to her record of 12-6-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Kunitskaya stands 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". Concerning wrestling, Irene Aldana is stopping 84% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 50% of her tries. Kunitskaya is finishing her takedown tries on 53% of her tries and is able to stop 50% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Aldana takes 5.97 strikes per min while she is dealing 5.52 per minute. Kunitskaya, on the other side, is absorbing 2.62 strikes per min and is dealing 4.22 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-385)

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