Yorgan De Castro vs Jarjis Danho Pick, 4/10/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 2 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/7/2021

Yorgan De Castro vs Jarjis Danho

UFC on ABC 2

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 10, 2021

Yorgan De Castro will face off against Jarjis Danho at UFC on ABC 2 on Saturday, April 10, 2021. The opener has Castro coming in at -285 while Danho is coming in at +243.

Yorgan "The Mad Titan" De Castro walks into the cage with a mark of 6-2-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 250 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Jarjis "Man Mountain" Danho measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 6-1-1. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Yorgan De Castro is connecting on 2.61 per min while Jarjis Danho connects on 3.39 significant strikes per min. De Castro is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he tries while Danho connects on 48%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Mad Titan" takes 3.90 significant strikes per minute and "Man Mountain" allows 5.77. De Castro also curbs 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Danho is able to defend against 47% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC on ABC 2	Yorgan De Castro	Jarjis Danho
Opening Odds	-285	+243
Record	6-2-0	6-1-1
Average Fight Time	9:06	13:16
Height	6'0"	6'3"
Weight	250 lbs	265 lbs
Reach	74"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.61	3.39
Striking Accuracy	44%	48%

When it comes to grappling, Yorgan De Castro is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min. De Castro is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries and is stuffing 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. Danho is taking his opponents down on 20% of his takedown tries and defending 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, De Castro is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Danho goes for 0.7 subs per 15 min.

In his last fight, Yorgan De Castro went up against Carlos Felipe and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Felipe landed 88 of 187 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Castro walked away from this fight having landed 113 of 174 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Felipe landed 78 of 177, which gave him a rate of 44%. He ended up landing 39 of 127 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Castro landed 48% of his significant strikes by connecting on 48 of 100. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 24 of 72 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Felipe and 100% of them landed by Castro were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jarjis Danho, he faced off with Christian Colombo and ended up in a draw via majority decision in round 3. Colombo landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Danho ended up connecting on 63% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Danho ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 52 of 98. He ended up landing 43 of 84 significant strikes to the head. Colombo ended up connecting on 76 of 159 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 49 of 126 to the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Colombo ended up landing 116 of 202 and Danho connected on 72 of 126 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Hunter Azure faces off against Jack Shore. Azure walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Shore stands 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of takedowns, Hunter Azure is able to score a takedown 2.52 times per 15 minutes while Jack Shore scores a takedown 5.16 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Azure connects for an average of 4.17 strikes per min and is landing 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Jack Shore, who lands 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.69 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Jordan Griffin is set to face off against Luis Saldana. Saldana has a mark of 14-6-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Griffin comes in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 18-8-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the category of takedowns, Luis Saldana is able to defend against 30% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his tries. Griffin is finishing his takedowns on 23% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 42% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Saldana takes 1.21 strikes/minute and he deals 7.17 strikes per minute. Griffin, in contrast, absorbs 3.18 strikes per min and connects on 2.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Yorgan De Castro (-285)

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