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Yan Xiaonan vs Carla Esparza Pick, 5/22/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 27 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/17/2021

carla esparza ufc

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Yan Xiaonan vs Carla Esparza

UFC Vegas 27

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 22, 2021

Yan Xiaonan will battle Carla Esparza at UFC Vegas 27 on Saturday, May 22, 2021. The moneyline has Xiaonan at -125 while Esparza is priced at +105.

Yan Xiaonan walks into the cage with a mark of 13-1-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Carla "Cookie Monster" Esparza stands in at 5'1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 18-6-0. The 33-year-old reaches 63". In the category of significant strikes, Yan Xiaonan lands 6.42 per minute while Carla Esparza lands 2.29 significant strikes per min. Xiaonan is landing 42% of the significant strikes she attempts and Esparza is connecting on 42%. Regarding defending in the cage, Xiaonan takes 3.63 significant strikes per min while "Cookie Monster" allows 2.85. Xiaonan also deflects 63% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Esparza thwarts 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

 

UFC Vegas 27 Yan Xiaonan Carla Esparza
Opening Odds -125 +105
Record 13-1-0 18-6-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 14:11
Height 5'5" 5'1"
Weight 115 lbs 115 lbs
Reach 63" 63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.42 2.29
Striking Accuracy 42% 42%

 

Concerning takedowns, Yan Xiaonan is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.00 time per 15 min. Xiaonan is scoring a takedown on 75% of her tries and stuffing 75% of all takedown attempts. Esparza is getting her opponent to the mat on 35% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 48% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. In terms of going for the submission, Xiaonan is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Esparza attempts 0.3 subs per 15 min.

The last time he fought, Yan Xiaonan went up against Claudia Gadelha and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Gadelha ended up landing 84 of 149 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Xiaonan walked away from this fight having landed 133 of 234 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Gadelha landed 36 of 96, which gave him a percentage of 37%. He landed 29 of 84 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Xiaonan landed 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 74 of 170. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 54 of 143 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Gadelha and 78% of them connected on by Xiaonan were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Carla Esparza, he squared up with Marina Rodriguez and wound up taking home the win by way of split decision in round 3. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Esparza ended up landing 12% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Esparza landed 55% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 33 of 60. He landed 29 of 56 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez ended up landing 40 of 76 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 34 of 70 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Rodriguez landed 91 of 129 and Esparza was 118 of 152 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Felicia Spencer squares up with Norma Dumont. Spencer will be looking to add a victory to her total of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Dumont measures 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 5-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". In terms of takedowns, Felicia Spencer takes her opponents to the mat 0.64 times per 3 rounds and Norma Dumont takes her opponents to the canvas 2.43 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Spencer is landing 3.02 strikes/min and connects on 45% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Norma Dumont, who connects on 55% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 5.35 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Sarah Alpar is set to battle Stephanie Egger. Egger will be looking to add a win to her record of 5-2-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Alpar stands 5'4" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 9-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 63". When it comes to takedowns, Stephanie Egger thwarts 40% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 16% of her tries. Alpar is taking her opponents to the mat on 28% of the tries she takes and thwarts 50% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Egger absorbs 1.33 strikes/minute and she is dealing 0.67 strikes/minute. Alpar, notwithstanding, takes 4.76 strikes/min and deals 2.11 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Yan Xiaonan (-125)

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