Vince Morales vs Drako Rodriguez Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/3/2021

Vince Morales vs Drako Rodriguez

UFC 265

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Vince Morales will face off against Drako Rodriguez at UFC 265 on Saturday, August 7, 2021. The odds have Morales coming in at -105 while Rodriguez is coming in at -115.

Vince "Vandetta" Morales comes into this fight with a record of 9-5-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Drako Rodriguez comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 7-2-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of significant strikes, Vince Morales connects on 4.22 per minute and Drako Rodriguez is landing 2.57 significant strikes per min. Morales connects on 39% of the significant strikes he throws and Rodriguez is landing 35%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Vandetta" allows 4.16 significant strikes per minute while Rodriguez absorbs 2.57. Morales also defends 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Rodriguez is able to curb 26% of the shots thrown.

UFC 265	Vince Morales	Drako Rodriguez
Opening Odds	-105	-115
Record	9-5-0	7-2-0
Average Fight Time	12:16	2:44
Height	5'7"	5'8"
Weight	145 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	70"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.22	2.57
Striking Accuracy	39%	35%

Regarding wrestling, Vince Morales is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds. Morales is scoring a takedown on 20% of his attempts and stopping 55% of the takedowns his opponents try. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 20% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submissions, Morales is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Rodriguez looks to get 2.8 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Vince Morales fought Chris Gutierrez and was defeated by way of a kick to the leg at distance in round 2. Gutierrez landed 60 of 94 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Morales finished this fight landing 8 of 27 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Gutierrez ended up landing 60 of 94, giving him a percentage of 63%. He finished the fight landing 20 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Morales ended up landing 29% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 8 of 27. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 21 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Gutierrez and 100% of them landed by Morales were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Drako Rodriguez, he squared up with Aiemann Zahabi and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Zahabi connected on 66% of his significant strikes at distance while Rodriguez ended up connecting on 72% of his significant strikes at distance. Rodriguez connected on 33% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 11 of 33. He landed 6 of 27 significant strikes directed at the head. Zahabi ended up landing 9 of 11 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 10 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Zahabi ended up landing 9 of 11 while Rodriguez ended up connecting on 13 of 35 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Alonzo Menifield takes on Ed Herman. Menifield looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-2-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Herman stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 27-14-0. The 40-year-old has an arm span of 77". When it comes to grappling, Alonzo Menifield takes his opponents to the mat 0.39 times per 15 minutes while Ed Herman takes his opponents to the mat 2.21 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Menifield is connecting on 3.31 strikes/minute and is connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Ed Herman, who is connecting on 49% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 3.32 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ode Osbourne is set to square up in the Octagon with Manel Kape. Kape comes into this bout holding a record of 15-6-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 68". Osbourne stands in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 9-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 73". In the category of takedowns, Manel Kape is able to thwart 80% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 28% of his attempts. Osbourne is taking his opponents down on 70% of the attempts he tries and stops 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Kape absorbs 4.30 strikes per min while he connects on 3.67 strikes/minute. Osbourne, on the other side, absorbs 3.04 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.30 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Drako Rodriguez (-115)

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Vince Morales vs Drako Rodriguez Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

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