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Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/21/2021

ufc picks Lauren Murphy predictions best bet odds

Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy

UFC 266

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Valentina Shevchenko will enter the Octagon with Lauren Murphy at UFC 266 on Saturday, September 25, 2021. The opener has Shevchenko at -2000 while Murphy is at +920.

Valentina "Bullet" Shevchenko will be looking to add a win to her record of 21-3-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 66". Lauren "Lucky" Murphy stands 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 38-year-old stretches 67". In the category of significant strikes, Valentina Shevchenko lands 3.02 per min and Lauren Murphy is connecting on 3.95 significant strikes per min. Shevchenko is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes she attempts and Murphy is landing 40%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Bullet" absorbs 1.99 significant strikes per min and "Lucky" allows 4.25. Shevchenko also thwarts 62% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Murphy is able to stop 61% of the shots thrown in her direction.

 

UFC 266 Valentina Shevchenko Lauren Murphy
Opening Odds -2000 +920
Record 21-3-0 15-4-0
Average Fight Time 16:34 14:07
Height 5'5" 5'5"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 66" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.02 3.95
Striking Accuracy 51% 40%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Valentina Shevchenko is the more apt wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 2.64 times per 15 minutes. Shevchenko is getting her opponent to the mat on 63% of her tries and thwarting 77% of the takedowns her opponents try. Murphy is scoring a takedown on 34% of her takedown tries and defending 70% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Shevchenko is the more able fighter by attempting 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Murphy looks to get 0.1 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Valentina Shevchenko went up against Jessica Andrade and took home the win via elbows to the head in round 2. Andrade ended up landing 47 of 55 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Shevchenko walked away from this fight having landed 90 of 97 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Andrade ended up landing 10 of 15, which means her percentage was 66%. She ended up landing 2 of 6 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Shevchenko ended up landing 82% of her significant strikes by connecting on 32 of 39. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 27 of 34 aimed at the head. 40% of the significant strikes landed by Andrade and 28% of them landed by Shevchenko were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Lauren Murphy, she battled Joanne Calderwood and took home the win via split decision in round 3. Calderwood connected on 80% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Murphy connected on 68% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Murphy connected on 54% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 80 of 148. She landed 66 of 131 significant strikes directed at the head. Calderwood ended up landing 123 of 228 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 62 of 137 to the head. Discussing total strikes that she let go in that contest, Calderwood connected on 153 of 259 while Murphy ended up landing 121 of 195 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jessica Andrade encounters Cynthia Calvillo. Andrade walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-9-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Calvillo stands 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 9-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 64". In terms of takedowns, Jessica Andrade is able to score a takedown 2.97 times per 3 rds while Cynthia Calvillo takes her opponents to the mat 1.85 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Andrade is connecting on 6.15 strikes/min and landing 50% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Cynthia Calvillo, who lands 41% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 4.18 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Taila Santos is set to clash with Roxanne Modafferi. Modafferi walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 25-19-0. The 38-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Santos stands 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 17-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 68". In terms of wrestling, Roxanne Modafferi stops 30% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 23% of the times she tries. Santos is taking her opponents to the mat on 80% of her tries and deflects 85% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Modafferi is taking 5.03 strikes per minute and she is dealing 3.13 strikes/min. Santos, moreover, is absorbing 2.22 strikes per minute and connects on 3.52 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Valentina Shevchenko (-2000)

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