Tony Gravely vs Anthony Birchak Pick, 4/17/2021 Predictions UFC on ESPN 22 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/15/2021

Tony Gravely vs Anthony Birchak

UFC on ESPN 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Tony Gravely will battle Anthony Birchak at UFC on ESPN 22 on Saturday, April 17, 2021. The opener has Gravely at -325 while Birchak is priced at +265.

Tony Gravely comes into this fight holding a mark of 20-6-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Anthony "El Toro" Birchak measures 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 16-7-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 69". In terms of significant strikes, Tony Gravely connects on 3.69 per minute while Anthony Birchak lands 4.23 significant strikes per min. Gravely connects on 55% of the significant strikes he attempts and Birchak lands 36%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Gravely takes 3.16 significant strikes per min while "El Toro" absorbs 3.06. Gravely also stops 42% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Birchak deflects 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC on ESPN 22	Tony Gravely	Anthony Birchak
Opening Odds	-325	+265
Record	20-6-0	16-7-0
Average Fight Time	13:23	4:58
Height	5'5"	5'8"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.69	4.23
Striking Accuracy	55%	36%

In terms of grappling, Tony Gravely is the more skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 5.60 times per 3 rds. Gravely is scoring a takedown on 51% of his attempts and stopping 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Birchak is taking his opponents to the canvas on 16% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 73% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Gravely is the more skilled fighter by trying 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Birchak tries 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

The last time he fought, Tony Gravely went up against Geraldo de Freitas and wound up taking home the win via split decision in round 3. Freitas landed 108 of 165 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Gravely finished this fight landing 86 of 144 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Freitas ended up landing 76 of 128, which gave him a rate of 59%. He ended up landing 61 of 111 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Gravely landed 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 49 of 101. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 37 of 87 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Freitas and 55% of them landed by Gravely were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Anthony Birchak, he went up against Gustavo Lopez and took a loss on the night by rear naked choke in round 1. Lopez ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Birchak connected on 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Birchak ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 17 of 40. He connected on 8 of 27 significant strikes to the head. Lopez connected on 26 of 43 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 17 of 33 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Lopez ended up landing 33 of 50 while Birchak was 18 of 41 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Tracy Cortez faces off against Justine Kish. Cortez has a mark of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Kish comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 7-3-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 64". In terms of takedowns, Tracy Cortez gets a takedown 3.00 times per 3 rounds while Justine Kish takes her opponents to the canvas 1.01 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Cortez lands an average of 3.67 strikes per minute and landing 53% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Justine Kish, who is landing 48% of the strikes she has thrown and is connecting on 4.65 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Kelvin Gastelum is set to battle Robert Whittaker. Whittaker steps into the cage holding a mark of 23-5-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Gastelum stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 71". In the category of takedowns, Robert Whittaker is able to stop 84% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 27% of the times he tries. Gastelum is taking his opponents down on 39% of the tries he takes and thwarts 64% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Whittaker absorbs 3.44 strikes/min and he lands 4.52 strikes/minute. Gastelum, on the contrary, is absorbing 2.92 strikes/minute and connects on 3.64 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tony Gravely (-325)

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Tony Gravely vs Anthony Birchak Pick, 4/17/2021 Predictions UFC on ESPN 22 Odds

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