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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush Pick, 5/15/2021 Predictions UFC 262 Odds

Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush Pick, 5/15/2021 Predictions UFC 262 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/12/2021

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Tony Ferguson vs Beneil Dariush

UFC 262

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, May 15, 2021

Tony Ferguson will face off against Beneil Dariush at UFC 262 on Saturday, May 15, 2021. The opening line has Ferguson priced at +160 while Dariush is at -185.

Tony "El Cucuy" Ferguson steps into the Octagon holding a record of 26-5-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Beneil Dariush measures 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 20-4-1. The 32-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Tony Ferguson is landing 5.46 per min and Beneil Dariush is landing 4.00 significant strikes per minute. Ferguson is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he tries and Dariush is connecting on 49%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "El Cucuy" allows 3.94 significant strikes per min while Dariush absorbs 2.72. Ferguson also defends against 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Dariush is able to stop 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 262 Tony Ferguson Beneil Dariush
Opening Odds +160 -185
Record 26-5-0 20-4-1
Average Fight Time 11:06 8:56
Height 5'11" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 76" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.46 4.00
Striking Accuracy 45% 49%

 

In terms of wrestling, Tony Ferguson is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.45 times per 3 rounds. Ferguson is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his tries and stopping 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Dariush is finishing his takedown attempts on 32% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Ferguson is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 1.1 submissions per 15 min while Dariush tries 1.0 finish per 15 min.

In his previous bout, Tony Ferguson went up against Charles Oliveira and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Oliveira ended up landing 86 of 112 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ferguson walked away from this fight having landed 26 of 49 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Oliveira landed 41 of 63, giving him a percentage of 65%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Ferguson ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 19 of 42. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 14 of 29 aimed at the head. 41% of the significant strikes connected on by Oliveira and 78% of them connected on by Ferguson were done at distance.

In the last bout for Beneil Dariush, he battled Diego Ferreira and ended up getting the win via split decision in round 3. Ferreira ended up landing 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Dariush ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Dariush connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 62 of 116. He ended up landing 46 of 98 significant strikes directed at the head. Ferreira landed 54 of 121 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 43 of 104 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Ferreira ended up connecting on 74 of 145 and Dariush ended up landing 74 of 132 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Matt Schnell squares up against Rogerio Bontorin. Schnell holds a career record of 15-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Bontorin stands in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to grappling, Matt Schnell gets a takedown 0.48 times per 3 rds while Rogerio Bontorin takes his opponents to the mat 1.90 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Schnell is landing 4.20 strikes per minute and connecting on 36% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Rogerio Bontorin, who tags the opposition on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.19 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Edson Barboza is set to take on Shane Burgos. Burgos has a mark of 13-2-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Barboza stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-9-0. The 35-year-old reaches 75". In terms of grappling, Shane Burgos stops 89% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 70% of the times he tries. Barboza is finishing his takedowns on 44% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 78% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Burgos is taking 5.81 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 7.31 strikes/minute. Barboza, moreover, takes 4.03 strikes per minute and lands 3.98 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Beneil Dariush (-185)

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