Tom Breese vs Antonio Arroyo Pick, 6/5/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 28 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/2/2021

Tom Breese vs Antonio Arroyo

UFC Vegas 28

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 5, 2021

Tom Breese will enter the Octagon against Antonio Arroyo at UFC Vegas 28 on Saturday, June 5, 2021. The opening odds have Breese priced at -235 while Arroyo is at +195.

Tom Breese will be looking to add a victory to his record of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 6'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 73". Antonio Arroyo stands 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 9-4-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Concerning significant strikes, Tom Breese lands 3.34 per minute and Antonio Arroyo is connecting on 3.08 significant strikes per min. Breese is landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Arroyo is landing 70%. Regarding defending in the cage, Breese takes 2.81 significant strikes per minute and Arroyo absorbs 1.72. Breese also prevents 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Arroyo curbs 44% of them.

UFC Vegas 28	Tom Breese	Antonio Arroyo
Opening Odds	-235	+195
Record	12-3-0	9-4-0
Average Fight Time	7:02	13:23
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	73"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.34	3.08
Striking Accuracy	50%	70%

In terms of takedowns, Tom Breese is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 3 rds. Breese is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the times he tries and is stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Arroyo is finishing his takedowns on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 32% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submissions, Breese is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 1.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Arroyo attempts 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

The last time he fought, Tom Breese squared up with Omari Akhmedov and was on the losing end of this fight by way of an arm triangle from half guard in round 2. Akhmedov landed 73 of 91 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Breese walked away from this fight having landed 6 of 12 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Akhmedov ended up landing 25 of 38, giving him a percentage of 65%. He landed 23 of 34 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Breese ended up landing 25% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 1 of 4. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 0 of 2 pointed at the head. 16% of the significant strikes connected on by Akhmedov and 100% of them landed by Breese were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Antonio Arroyo, he fought Deron Winn and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Winn landed 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Arroyo connected on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Arroyo connected on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 45 of 62. He landed 29 of 45 significant strikes to the head. Winn landed 20 of 38 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 10 of 26 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Winn ended up landing 64 of 89 while Arroyo connected on 70 of 87 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Makwan Amirkhani faces off against Kamuela Kirk. Amirkhani will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". Kirk stands 5'10" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 11-4-0. The 27-year-old stretches 75". In the grappling category, Makwan Amirkhani is averaging a takedown 3.37 times per 3 rounds and Kamuela Kirk takes his opponents down 2.89 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Amirkhani connects for an average of 1.42 strikes/min and landing 44% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Kamuela Kirk, who lands 57% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.31 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ilir Latifi is set to clash with Tanner Boser. Boser comes into this fight with a mark of 19-7-1. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 255 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Latifi stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-8-0. The 37-year-old extends his reach 73". In the category of takedowns, Tanner Boser prevents 80% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his tries. Latifi is finishing his takedown tries on 32% of the attempts he tries and defends against 70% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Boser is taking 2.70 strikes/min and he dishes out 4.54 strikes/minute. Latifi, moreover, absorbs 2.84 strikes per minute and is connecting on 2.01 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Antonio Arroyo (+195)

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Tom Breese vs Antonio Arroyo Pick, 6/5/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 28 Odds

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