Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Spivak Pick, 9/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 36 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/31/2021

ufc picks Tom Aspinall predictions best bet odds

Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Spivak

UFC Vegas 36

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 4, 2021

Tom Aspinall will enter the Octagon with Sergey Spivak at UFC Vegas 36 on Saturday, September 4, 2021. The opening line has Aspinall coming in at -290 while Spivak is coming in at +225.

Tom Aspinall looks to add a victory to his record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 256 lbs and stands 6'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Sergey "Polar Bear" Spivak stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old reaches 78". In terms of significant strikes, Tom Aspinall lands 7.43 per minute and Sergey Spivak connects on 3.85 significant strikes per min. Aspinall is landing 66% of the significant strikes he tries and Spivak connects on 50%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Aspinall absorbs 3.06 significant strikes per min while "Polar Bear" allows 3.10. Aspinall also deflects 65% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Spivak defends against 56% of them.

UFC Vegas 36	Tom Aspinall	Sergey Spivak
Opening Odds	-290	+225
Record	10-2-0	13-2-0
Average Fight Time	2:50	10:36
Height	6'5"	6'3"
Weight	256 lbs	260 lbs
Reach	78"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	7.43	3.85
Striking Accuracy	66%	50%

In the wrestling category, Tom Aspinall is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.54 times per 15 minutes. Aspinall is taking his opponents to the canvas on 80% of his attempts and stopping 20% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Spivak is taking his opponents to the mat on 63% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Aspinall is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.8 submissions per 15 min while Spivak tries 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Tom Aspinall went up against Andrei Arlovski and ended up getting the victory in the fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Arlovski ended up landing 22 of 57 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Aspinall ended the night having landed 41 of 64 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Arlovski ended up landing 20 of 55, which means his percentage was 36%. He ended up landing 8 of 40 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Aspinall landed 61% of his significant strikes by connecting on 37 of 60. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 22 of 44 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by Arlovski and 64% of them landed by Aspinall were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Sergey Spivak, he squared up with Aleksei Oleinik and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Oleinik ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Spivak landed 77% of his significant strikes at distance. Spivak ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 71 of 136. He ended up connecting on 67 of 132 significant strikes aimed at the head. Oleinik landed 59 of 121 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 33 of 92 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Oleinik was 98 of 162 while Spivak landed 112 of 181 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Alex Morono encounters David Zawada. Morono comes into this fight with a mark of 19-7-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Zawada stands in at 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding grappling, Alex Morono scores a takedown 0.43 times per 15 minutes while David Zawada takes his opponents to the mat 0.96 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Morono lands 5.05 strikes per minute and landing 42% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have David Zawada, who lands 40% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.24 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Khalil Rountree Jr. is set to face off against Modestas Bukauskas. Bukauskas will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-4-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The switch fighter reaches 78". Rountree Jr. stands in at 6'1" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-5-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 76". Regarding wrestling, Modestas Bukauskas defends against 80% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the times he tries. Rountree Jr. is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Bukauskas takes 4.36 strikes per minute while he dishes out 3.77 strikes per min. Rountree Jr., in contrast, is taking 3.63 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.06 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Sergey Spivak (+225)

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Tom Aspinall vs Sergey Spivak Pick, 9/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 36 Odds

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