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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Tim Elliott vs Matheus Nicolau Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

Tim Elliott vs Matheus Nicolau Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/5/2021

ufc picks Matheus Nicolau predictions best bet odds

Tim Elliott vs Matheus Nicolau

UFC Vegas 39

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 9, 2021

Tim Elliott will battle Matheus Nicolau at UFC Vegas 39 on Saturday, October 9, 2021. The moneyline has Elliott at +152 while Nicolau is priced at -188.

Tim Elliott will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-11-1. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 66". Matheus Nicolau stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-3-1. The 28-year-old stretches 66". In the category of significant strikes, Tim Elliott connects on 3.35 per minute while Matheus Nicolau is connecting on 3.79 significant strikes per min. Elliott is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he attempts and Nicolau connects on 52%. Regarding defending in the cage, Elliott absorbs 2.49 significant strikes per minute while Nicolau allows 2.83. Elliott also stops 59% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Nicolau is able to defend against 67% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 39 Tim Elliott Matheus Nicolau
Opening Odds +152 -188
Record 18-11-1 16-3-1
Average Fight Time 12:12 12:27
Height 5'7" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 66" 66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.35 3.79
Striking Accuracy 45% 52%

 

Regarding grappling, Tim Elliott is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 4.01 times per 3 rds. Elliott is finishing his takedown attempts on 49% of his tries and stopping 58% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nicolau is scoring a takedown on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 100% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Elliott is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Nicolau tries 1.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Tim Elliott squared up with Jordan Espinosa and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Espinosa landed 22 of 35 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Elliott walked away from this fight having landed 91 of 120 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Espinosa ended up landing 13 of 25, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 7 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Elliott ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 25 of 44. Of those significant strikes, he was 14 of 27 to the head. 46% of the significant strikes landed by Espinosa and 16% of them landed by Elliott were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Matheus Nicolau, he faced off with Manel Kape and got a win for the night via split decision in round 3. Kape ended up connecting on 95% of his significant strikes at distance while Nicolau ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nicolau landed 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 55 of 102. He ended up connecting on 27 of 66 significant strikes to the head. Kape ended up landing 61 of 150 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 37 of 120 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Kape ended up connecting on 73 of 165 and Nicolau ended up landing 76 of 132 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Phil Hawes enters the Octagon with Deron Winn. Hawes looks to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Winn stands in at 5'6" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 7-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". In the grappling category, Phil Hawes takes his opponents down 2.70 times per 15 minutes while Deron Winn scores a takedown 4.98 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Hawes connects on 3.44 strikes/min and landing 58% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Deron Winn, who is landing 47% of the strikes that he throws and lands 4.74 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Felipe Colares is set to face off with Chris Gutierrez. Gutierrez comes into this bout with a record of 16-3-2. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Colares stands 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 69". Regarding takedowns, Chris Gutierrez is able to stop 73% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of the times he tries. Colares is taking his opponents to the mat on 23% of his attempts and is able to curb 38% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Gutierrez absorbs 2.45 strikes/min while he lands 4.30 per min. Colares, in contrast, absorbs 4.22 strikes/min and deals 2.15 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tim Elliott (+152)

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