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Thiago Santos vs Johnny Walker Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Johnny Walker predictions best bet odds

Thiago Santos vs Johnny Walker

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Thiago Santos will face off against Johnny Walker at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The odds have Santos coming in at -162 while Walker is coming in at +132.

Thiago "Marreta" Santos looks to add a win to his record of 21-9-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Johnny Walker comes in at 6'6" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 82". Regarding significant strikes, Thiago Santos is connecting on 4.27 per min and Johnny Walker is connecting on 4.41 significant strikes per min. Santos lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Walker connects on 72%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Marreta" absorbs 2.33 significant strikes per minute while Walker absorbs 3.51. Santos also defends 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Walker curbs 31% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 38 Thiago Santos Johnny Walker
Opening Odds -162 +132
Record 21-9-0 18-5-0
Average Fight Time 8:10 5:23
Height 6'2" 6'6"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 76" 82"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.27 4.41
Striking Accuracy 48% 72%

 

In terms of wrestling, Thiago Santos is the more capable grappler as he gets a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Santos is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of his tries and is stopping 66% of all takedown attempts. Walker is finishing his takedown attempts on 70% of his takedown tries and is stopping 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the submission, Santos is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Walker tries 1.2 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Thiago Santos fought Aleksandar Rakic and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rakic ended up landing 50 of 103 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Santos finished this fight landing 61 of 109 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Rakic landed 36 of 89, which means his percentage was 40%. He ended up landing 8 of 47 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Santos ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 49 of 97. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 10 of 41 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Rakic and 71% of them landed by Santos were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Johnny Walker, he went up against Ryan Spann and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Spann landed 42% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Walker ended up connecting on 15% of his significant strikes at distance. Walker landed 86% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 26 of 30. He ended up landing 24 of 27 significant strikes to the head. Spann connected on 7 of 13 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 13 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Spann landed 10 of 16 while Walker landed 30 of 34 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Kevin Holland enters the Octagon with Kyle Daukaus. Holland has a career mark of 21-7-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 81". Daukaus stands in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In the grappling category, Kevin Holland gets a takedown 0.92 times per 3 rds and Kyle Daukaus takes his opponents to the canvas 1.75 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Holland lands 3.74 strikes per min and connects on 54% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Kyle Daukaus, who is connecting on 53% of the strikes he attempts and lands 3.23 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Niko Price is set to square up against Alex Oliveira. Oliveira will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-10-1. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Price measures 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 76". In the category of takedowns, Alex Oliveira curbs 63% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 37% of his attempts. Price is taking his opponents down on 20% of his attempts and curbs 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Oliveira is taking 2.23 strikes/minute while he is dealing 2.86 per minute. Price, on the other hand, takes 5.87 strikes/min and lands 5.29 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Thiago Santos (-162)

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