Steve Garcia vs Charlie Ontiveros Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/5/2021

ufc picks Charlie Ontiveros predictions best bet odds

Steve Garcia vs Charlie Ontiveros

UFC Vegas 39

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 9, 2021

Steve Garcia will enter the Octagon with Charlie Ontiveros at UFC Vegas 39 on Saturday, October 9, 2021. The moneyline has Garcia coming in at -310 while Ontiveros is priced at +240.

Steve "Mean Machine" Garcia holds a record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Charlie "American Bad Boy" Ontiveros stands in at 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 11-7-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Steve Garcia lands 4.31 per min and Charlie Ontiveros lands 0.33 significant strikes per minute. Garcia connects on 55% of the significant strikes he tries and Ontiveros is connecting on 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Mean Machine" allows 2.52 significant strikes per min and "American Bad Boy" absorbs 4.18. Garcia also thwarts 36% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Ontiveros is able to defend against 19% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 39	Steve Garcia	Charlie Ontiveros
Opening Odds	-310	+240
Record	11-4-0	11-7-0
Average Fight Time	8:11	3:00
Height	6'0"	6'2"
Weight	155 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	75"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.31	0.33
Striking Accuracy	55%	40%

When it comes to wrestling, Steve Garcia is the more capable wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.61 times per 15 minutes. Garcia is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of his tries and is stuffing 100% of all takedown attempts. Ontiveros is taking his opponents down on 0% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 0% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submissions, Garcia is the more capable fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Ontiveros looks to get 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Steve Garcia fought Luis Pena and ended up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Pena landed 58 of 95 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Garcia walked away from this fight having landed 98 of 153 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pena landed 27 of 42, giving him a percentage of 64%. He landed 24 of 38 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Garcia ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 21 of 39. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 15 of 32 pointed at the head. 22% of the significant strikes connected on by Pena and 66% of them landed by Garcia were done at distance.

In the last fight for Charlie Ontiveros, he faced off with Kevin Holland and took a loss on the night by way of submission in round 1. Holland ended up connecting on 18% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Ontiveros landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ontiveros ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 2 of 2. He landed 2 of 2 significant strikes directed at the head. Holland landed 11 of 12 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 10 of 11 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Holland ended up landing 33 of 34 while Ontiveros connected on 2 of 2 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Randy Brown squares up in the Octagon against Jared Gooden. Brown comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Gooden stands 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 18-6-0. The 27-year-old stretches 77". When it comes to grappling, Randy Brown is averaging a takedown 0.98 times per 3 rds and Jared Gooden is averaging a takedown 0.96 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Brown tags his opponents 3.72 strikes per min and lands 47% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Jared Gooden, who lands 42% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 5.04 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Matheus Nicolau is set to battle Tim Elliott. Elliott will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-11-1. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 66". Nicolau stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-3-1. The 28-year-old stretches 66". In terms of grappling, Tim Elliott is able to defend against 58% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 49% of his tries. Nicolau is taking his opponents down on 44% of the attempts he tries and prevents 100% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Elliott takes 2.49 strikes per min and he is dishing out 3.35 per minute. Nicolau, in contrast, is absorbing 2.83 strikes per min and lands 3.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Steve Garcia (-310)

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Steve Garcia vs Charlie Ontiveros Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

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