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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Stephen Thompson vs Belal Muhammad Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

Stephen Thompson vs Belal Muhammad Pick, 12/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 45 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/10/2021

ufc picks Stephen Thompson predictions best bet odds

Stephen Thompson vs Belal Muhammad

UFC Vegas 45

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Stephen Thompson will enter the Octagon against Belal Muhammad at UFC Vegas 45 on Saturday, December 18, 2021. The odds have Thompson at -250 while Muhammad is at +200.

Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-5-1. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad measures 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Stephen Thompson connects on 4.06 per minute and Belal Muhammad connects on 4.61 significant strikes per min. Thompson is landing 43% of the significant strikes he throws while Muhammad is connecting on 42%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Wonderboy" allows 2.75 significant strikes per min and "Remember the Name" absorbs 3.80. Thompson also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Muhammad is able to curb 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 45 Stephen Thompson Belal Muhammad
Opening Odds -250 +200
Record 16-5-1 19-3-0
Average Fight Time 14:33 13:04
Height 6'0" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.06 4.61
Striking Accuracy 43% 42%

 

In terms of takedowns, Stephen Thompson is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 min. Thompson is scoring a takedown on 45% of his tries and stopping 73% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Muhammad is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of his takedown tries and is defending 91% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Thompson is the more apt fighter by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Muhammad goes for 0.2 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Stephen Thompson squared up with Gilbert Burns and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Burns landed 101 of 126 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Thompson finished this fight landing 59 of 98 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Burns landed 29 of 43, giving him a percentage of 67%. He finished the fight landing 17 of 29 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Thompson landed 35% of his significant strikes by sticking 19 of 53. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 14 of 44 aimed at the head. 55% of the significant strikes connected on by Burns and 100% of them connected on by Thompson were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Belal Muhammad, he fought Demian Maia and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Maia landed 95% of his significant strikes at distance while Muhammad landed 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Muhammad connected on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 45 of 127. He landed 38 of 119 significant strikes directed at the head. Maia connected on 21 of 53 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 21 of 53 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Maia connected on 23 of 55 while Muhammad connected on 92 of 177 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Raphael Assuncao meets Ricky Simon. Assuncao will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 27-8-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Simon stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 18-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Raphael Assuncao scores a takedown 1.48 times per 3 rounds and Ricky Simon scores a takedown 6.93 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Assuncao connects for an average of 3.26 strikes per minute and landing 40% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Ricky Simon, who is connecting on 42% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 3.08 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Mateusz Gamrot is set to face off against Diego Ferreira. Ferreira looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-4-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Gamrot comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 19-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding takedowns, Diego Ferreira curbs 66% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 24% of his tries. Gamrot is finishing his takedowns on 34% of his attempts and deflects 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Ferreira takes 3.38 strikes per min while he is landing 4.70 strikes per minute. Gamrot, notwithstanding, is taking 2.09 strikes per minute and deals 4.10 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Belal Muhammad (+200)

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