Song Yadong vs Casey Kenney Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/3/2021

Song Yadong vs Casey Kenney

UFC 265

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Song Yadong will face off against Casey Kenney at UFC 265 on Saturday, August 7, 2021. The opening odds have Yadong at -105 while Kenney is priced at -115.

Song Yadong steps into the cage with a mark of 16-5-1. The 23-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Casey Kenney stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-3-1. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 68". Concerning significant strikes, Song Yadong is connecting on 4.35 per min and Casey Kenney connects on 4.81 significant strikes per min. Yadong lands 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Kenney connects on 42%. In terms of defending in the cage, Yadong absorbs 3.64 significant strikes per minute and Kenney allows 4.30. Yadong also defends against 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Kenney thwarts 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC 265	Song Yadong	Casey Kenney
Opening Odds	-105	-115
Record	16-5-1	16-3-1
Average Fight Time	10:54	13:40
Height	5'8"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.35	4.81
Striking Accuracy	42%	42%

When it comes to grappling, Song Yadong is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.59 times per 15 min. Yadong is finishing his takedown attempts on 75% of his tries and defending 56% of all takedowns attempted on him. Kenney is scoring a takedown on 39% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 59% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Yadong is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Kenney goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Song Yadong fought Kyler Phillips and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Phillips landed 69 of 152 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Yadong walked away from this fight having landed 89 of 189 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Phillips ended up landing 59 of 142, giving him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 38 of 112 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Yadong ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by landing 67 of 161. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 39 of 120 pointed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Phillips and 100% of them connected on by Yadong were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Casey Kenney, he faced off with Dominick Cruz and was defeated by split decision in round 3. Cruz connected on 95% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Kenney ended up landing 97% of his significant strikes at distance. Kenney ended up connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 74 of 193. He ended up connecting on 41 of 148 significant strikes to the head. Cruz connected on 89 of 202 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 51 of 151 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Cruz was 115 of 229 while Kenney ended up connecting on 74 of 193 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Bobby Green enters the Octagon with Rafael Fiziev. Green holds a career mark of 27-11-1. The 34-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Fiziev comes in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 71". In terms of takedowns, Bobby Green takes his opponents down 1.56 times per 3 rds and Rafael Fiziev takes his opponents down 0.84 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Green lands 5.17 strikes/minute and is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Rafael Fiziev, who is connecting on 57% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.67 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Drako Rodriguez is set to go up against Vince Morales. Morales comes into this fight with a record of 9-5-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Rodriguez comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 7-2-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding wrestling, Vince Morales stops 55% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the times he tries. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 20% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Morales takes 4.16 strikes/min while he connects on 4.22 per min. Rodriguez, in contrast, is taking 2.57 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.57 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Casey Kenney (-115)

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Song Yadong vs Casey Kenney Pick, 8/7/2021 Predictions UFC 265 Odds

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