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Shane Burgos vs Edson Barboza Pick, 5/15/2021 Predictions UFC 262 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/12/2021

Shane Burgos UFC

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Shane Burgos vs Edson Barboza

UFC 262

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, May 15, 2021

Shane Burgos will battle Edson Barboza at UFC 262 on Saturday, May 15, 2021. The opening line has Burgos at -135 while Barboza is at +115.

Shane "Hurricane" Burgos has a mark of 13-2-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Edson "Junior" Barboza stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-9-0. The 35-year-old reaches 75". With respect to significant strikes, Shane Burgos is landing 7.31 per minute while Edson Barboza connects on 3.98 significant strikes per minute. Burgos lands 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Barboza connects on 43%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Hurricane" allows 5.81 significant strikes per minute and "Junior" absorbs 4.03. Burgos also stops 60% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Barboza defends against 60% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC 262 Shane Burgos Edson Barboza
Opening Odds -135 +115
Record 13-2-0 21-9-0
Average Fight Time 12:24 11:28
Height 5'11" 5'11"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 75" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.31 3.98
Striking Accuracy 50% 43%

 

Regarding takedowns, Shane Burgos is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times per 3 rounds. Burgos is taking his opponents to the canvas on 70% of the times he tries and is stuffing 89% of all takedown attempts. Barboza is taking his opponents to the mat on 44% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 78% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Burgos is the more apt fighter by going for 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Barboza attempts 0.1 finishes per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Shane Burgos faced Josh Emmett and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Emmett landed 136 of 275 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Burgos ended the night having landed 148 of 270 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Emmett ended up landing 127 of 266, giving him a percentage of 47%. He ended up landing 98 of 232 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Burgos ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 128 of 250. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 68 of 174 to the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Emmett and 94% of them landed by Burgos were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Edson Barboza, he battled Makwan Amirkhani and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Amirkhani ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Barboza connected on 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Barboza ended up connecting on 43% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 74. He landed 8 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. Amirkhani connected on 11 of 39 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 36 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Amirkhani was 25 of 59 and Barboza was 34 of 77 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jacare Souza enters the Octagon against Andre Muniz. Souza walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 26-9-0. The 41-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Muniz stands in at 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 20-4-0. The 31-year-old reaches 78". Regarding grappling, Jacare Souza takes his opponents down 2.55 times per 15 min while Andre Muniz scores a takedown 2.61 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Souza connects for an average of 2.53 strikes per min and landing 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Andre Muniz, who tags the opposition on 58% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 2.21 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Mike Grundy is set to fight Lando Vannata. Vannata looks to add a win to his total of 11-5-2. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Grundy comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-2-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 72". Regarding takedowns, Lando Vannata stops 58% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of his tries. Grundy is taking his opponents down on 38% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 80% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Vannata is taking 5.10 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.58 strikes per minute. Grundy, on the contrary, is taking 4.09 strikes/minute and deals 2.15 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Edson Barboza (+115)

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