Sean Brady vs Jake Matthews Pick, 3/6/2021 Predictions UFC 259 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

Sean Brady vs Jake Matthews

UFC 259

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 6, 2021

Sean Brady will enter the Octagon against Jake Matthews at UFC 259 on Saturday, March 6, 2021. The opening moneyline has Brady priced at -210 while Matthews is priced at +175.

Sean Brady walks into the cage with a mark of 13-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews measures in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-4-0. The 26-year-old reaches 73". In terms of significant strikes, Sean Brady is landing 5.44 per min while Jake Matthews connects on 3.15 significant strikes per minute. Brady is landing 55% of the significant strikes he attempts while Matthews is landing 46%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Brady takes 4.35 significant strikes per min and "The Celtic Kid" absorbs 2.12. Brady also defends 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Matthews deflects 63% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC 259	Sean Brady	Jake Matthews
Opening Odds	-210	+175
Record	13-0-0	17-4-0
Average Fight Time	12:16	11:17
Height	5'10"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.44	3.15
Striking Accuracy	55%	46%

In the category of takedowns, Sean Brady is the more capable grappler as he gets a takedown 3.26 times per 3 rds. Brady is finishing his takedown attempts on 57% of his tries and is stopping 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Matthews is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of his takedown tries and stopping 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Brady is the more skilled technician by going for 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Matthews looks to get 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Sean Brady went up against Christian Aguilera and took home the win by way of guillotine choke in round 2. Aguilera ended up landing 17 of 40 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Brady walked away from this fight having landed 65 of 99 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Aguilera ended up landing 16 of 39, which means his percentage was 41%. He landed 6 of 27 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Brady ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by sticking 34 of 60. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 41 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Aguilera and 82% of them connected on by Brady were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Jake Matthews, he fought Diego Sanchez and wound up taking home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Sanchez connected on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Matthews landed 58% of his significant strikes at distance. Matthews connected on 48% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 72 of 148. He ended up connecting on 69 of 145 significant strikes directed at the head. Sanchez ended up landing 25 of 81 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 12 of 57 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Sanchez ended up connecting on 38 of 95 and Matthews ended up connecting on 93 of 174 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Uros Medic squares up against Aalon Cruz. Medic looks to add a win to his total of 6-0-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Cruz stands 6'0" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 78". When it comes to grappling, Uros Medic is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds and Aalon Cruz takes his opponents to the mat 0.30 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Medic lands 14.55 strikes/min and lands 88% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Aalon Cruz, who tags his opponent on 39% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 8.37 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Trevin Jones is set to square up against Mario Bautista. Bautista steps into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 69". Jones stands 5'7" and is weighing in at 140 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 12-6-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 70". Concerning wrestling, Mario Bautista defends against 57% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his tries. Jones is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries and thwarts 20% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Bautista is taking 4.96 strikes per minute while he is landing 6.19 per min. Jones, moreover, takes 9.45 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.72 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Sean Brady (-210)

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