Sarah Moras vs Vanessa Melo Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

Sarah Moras vs Vanessa Melo

UFC on ABC 1

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Sarah Moras will face off against Vanessa Melo at UFC on ABC 1 on Saturday, January 16, 2021. The opener has Moras coming in at -240 while Melo is at +200.

Sarah "Cheesecake" Moras comes into this fight with a record of 6-7-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Vanessa Melo Melo measures 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career total of 10-8-0. The 32-year-old stretches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Sarah Moras is connecting on 2.18 per minute and Vanessa Melo connects on 3.40 significant strikes per minute. Moras is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes she attempts while Melo connects on 30%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Cheesecake" absorbs 3.55 significant strikes per min while Melo absorbs 7.20. Moras also defends 46% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Melo is able to stop 53% of the shots thrown.

In the grappling category, Sarah Moras is the more capable grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.77 times per 15 min. Moras is finishing her takedown attempts on 22% of her tries and stuffing 33% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Melo is getting her opponent to the mat on 40% of her takedown tries and defending 69% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to subbing opponents, Moras is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Melo tries 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

In her last fight, Sarah Moras squared up with Sijara Eubanks and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Eubanks landed 104 of 190 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Moras finished this fight landing 84 of 179 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Eubanks landed 85 of 171, which gave her a rate of 49%. She landed 69 of 150 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Moras ended up landing 31% of her significant strikes by sticking 44 of 138. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 22 of 104 to the head. 72% of the significant strikes landed by Eubanks and 93% of them landed by Moras were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Vanessa Melo, she faced off with Karol Rosa and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Rosa ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Melo landed 95% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Melo connected on 33% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 45 of 135. She ended up landing 22 of 103 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rosa ended up connecting on 120 of 228 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she landed 82 of 180 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Rosa ended up connecting on 177 of 289 and Melo ended up connecting on 78 of 168 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Max Holloway enters the Octagon with Calvin Kattar. Holloway looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Kattar stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 22-4-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of takedowns, Max Holloway takes his opponents down 0.22 times per 3 rounds and Calvin Kattar is able to score a takedown 0.47 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Holloway lands an average of 6.47 strikes per min and connecting on 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Calvin Kattar, who connects on 41% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.01 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Matt Brown is set to enter the Octagon against Carlos Condit. Condit will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 31-13-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Brown measures 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 24-17-0. The 40-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the category of takedowns, Carlos Condit is able to stop 36% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 55% of his attempts. Brown is taking his opponents down on 47% of the attempts he tries and curbs 63% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Condit is taking 2.52 strikes per min while he is dealing 3.69 strikes per minute. Brown, moreover, takes 2.68 strikes/minute and deals 3.81 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Sarah Moras (-240)

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