Sam Alvey vs Roman Kopylov Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds
Sam Alvey vs Roman Kopylov
UFC Vegas 33
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, July 31, 2021
Sam Alvey will enter the Octagon against Roman Kopylov at UFC Vegas 33 on Saturday, July 31, 2021. The opening line has Alvey at +194 while Kopylov is coming in at -245.
Sam "Smile'N" Alvey walks into the cage holding a record of 33-15-1. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Roman Kopylov comes in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Sam Alvey is connecting on 3.20 per min while Roman Kopylov lands 2.64 significant strikes per min. Alvey connects on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Kopylov is landing 38%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Smile'N" absorbs 3.44 significant strikes per minute while Kopylov takes 3.07. Alvey also prevents 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Kopylov curbs 63% of the shots thrown.
UFC Vegas 33 | Sam Alvey | Roman Kopylov |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | +194 | -245 |
Record | 33-15-1 | 8-1-0 |
Average Fight Time | 9:51 | 14:01 |
Height | 6'2" | 6'0" |
Weight | 205 lbs | 185 lbs |
Reach | 75" | 75" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.20 | 2.64 |
Striking Accuracy | 43% | 38% |
Concerning takedowns, Sam Alvey is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.07 times per 15 min. Alvey is scoring a takedown on 16% of his attempts and thwarting 82% of the takedowns his opponents try. Kopylov is scoring a takedown on 20% of his takedown tries and stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Alvey is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Kopylov looks to get 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his previous fight, Sam Alvey fought Julian Marquez and ended up taking the loss via rear naked choke in round 2. Marquez landed 62 of 101 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Alvey walked away from this fight having landed 29 of 78 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Marquez ended up landing 61 of 100, which gave him a rate of 61%. He finished the fight landing 46 of 78 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Alvey landed 37% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 29 of 78. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 21 of 64 to the head. 67% of the significant strikes landed by Marquez and 96% of them landed by Alvey were done at distance.
In the last bout for Roman Kopylov, he went up against Karl Roberson and took a loss on the night by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Roberson ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Kopylov ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Kopylov connected on 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 37 of 95. He ended up connecting on 19 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. Roberson landed 43 of 117 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 77 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Roberson ended up landing 43 of 117 and Kopylov landed 38 of 96 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Bryan Barberena fights Jason Witt. Barberena steps into the cage holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Witt comes in at 5'10" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 18-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Bryan Barberena is able to score a takedown 0.23 times per 15 minutes and Jason Witt takes his opponents to the canvas 3.65 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Barberena tags his opponents 5.48 strikes/minute and lands 48% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Jason Witt, who lands 65% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.16 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Mounir Lazzez is set to enter the Octagon against Niklas Stolze. Stolze walks into the cage with a record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The switch fighter has a reach of 74". Lazzez measures 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 76". Regarding takedowns, Niklas Stolze prevents 66% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of his attempts. Lazzez is finishing his takedowns on 80% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 60% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Stolze takes 1.93 strikes per minute and he lands 2.00 strikes per min. Lazzez, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.78 strikes per minute and connects on 5.69 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Roman Kopylov (-245)
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