Sam Alvey vs Julian Marquez Pick, 4/10/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 2 Odds

Sam Alvey vs Julian Marquez

UFC on ABC 2

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 10, 2021

Sam Alvey will face off against Julian Marquez at UFC on ABC 2 on Saturday, April 10, 2021. The opening line has Alvey priced at +165 while Marquez is coming in at -190.

Sam "Smile'N" Alvey will be looking to add a victory to his record of 33-14-1. The 34-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Julian "The Cuban Missile Crisis" Marquez measures in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". With respect to significant strikes, Sam Alvey is landing 3.17 per minute and Julian Marquez lands 3.50 significant strikes per minute. Alvey is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Marquez is landing 40%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Smile'N" absorbs 3.26 significant strikes per minute and "The Cuban Missile Crisis" takes 2.98. Alvey also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Marquez is able to defend against 52% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Sam Alvey is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.08 times per 3 rds. Alvey is taking his opponents to the canvas on 16% of his attempts and defending 82% of the takedowns his opponents try. Marquez is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 53% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing opponents, Alvey is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Marquez tries 3.4 finishes per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sam Alvey squared up with Da-Un Jung and ended up in a draw by split decision in round 3. Jung landed 61 of 133 total strikes attempted in that contest. Alvey ended the night having landed 69 of 177 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Jung landed 56 of 126, which gave him a percentage of 44%. He landed 43 of 108 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Alvey landed 35% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 59 of 166. Of those significant strikes, he was 38 of 140 to the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Jung and 94% of them connected on by Alvey were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Julian Marquez, he went up against Maki Pitolo and got a win for the night by way of an anaconda choke in round 3. Pitolo connected on 68% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Marquez connected on 43% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Marquez connected on 41% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 41 of 100. He ended up connecting on 37 of 94 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pitolo ended up connecting on 32 of 65 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 16 of 46 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Pitolo landed 70 of 110 and Marquez was 61 of 129 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Mike Perry enters the Octagon with Daniel Rodriguez. Perry holds a career record of 14-7-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Rodriguez measures 6'1" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 13-2-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 74". When it comes to grappling, Mike Perry takes his opponents down 0.69 times per 15 min while Daniel Rodriguez is able to score a takedown 1.34 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Perry lands an average of 4.35 strikes/min and is connecting on 47% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Daniel Rodriguez, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 7.68 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Joe Solecki is set to enter the Octagon against Jim Miller. Miller comes into this fight holding a mark of 32-15-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter stretches 71". Solecki stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 70". When it comes to takedowns, Jim Miller is able to thwart 46% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 43% of his tries. Solecki is finishing his takedowns on 62% of the tries he takes and defends against 20% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Miller is taking 2.99 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 2.73 per minute. Solecki, at the same time, absorbs 0.93 strikes/min and deals 3.62 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Julian Marquez (-190)

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