Sabina Mazo vs Mariya Agapova Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/5/2021

ufc picks Mariya Agapova predictions best bet odds

Sabina Mazo vs Mariya Agapova

UFC Vegas 39

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 9, 2021

Sabina Mazo will face off against Mariya Agapova at UFC Vegas 39 on Saturday, October 9, 2021. The opener has Mazo priced at -154 while Agapova is priced at +126.

Sabina "Colombian Queen" Mazo comes into this fight with a mark of 9-2-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Mariya Agapova stands 5'6" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 9-2-0. The 24-year-old reaches 68". In the category of significant strikes, Sabina Mazo is connecting on 6.56 per min and Mariya Agapova is landing 3.70 significant strikes per minute. Mazo lands 44% of the significant strikes she attempts while Agapova connects on 50%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Colombian Queen" takes 3.91 significant strikes per minute while Agapova takes 4.15. Mazo also prevents 60% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Agapova curbs 47% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC Vegas 39	Sabina Mazo	Mariya Agapova
Opening Odds	-154	+126
Record	9-2-0	9-2-0
Average Fight Time	14:47	8:07
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	70"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.56	3.70
Striking Accuracy	44%	50%

Regarding grappling, Sabina Mazo is the not as competent as a grappler as she is able to score a takedown 0.81 times per 3 rounds. Mazo is scoring a takedown on 80% of her tries and stopping 66% of all takedown attempts. Agapova is getting her opponent to the mat on 66% of the takedowns she tries and stuffing 33% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Mazo is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Agapova attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In her previous bout, Sabina Mazo went up against Alexis Davis and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Davis landed 128 of 196 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Mazo finished this fight landing 71 of 173 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Davis landed 49 of 83, which gave her a rate of 59%. She finished the fight landing 8 of 37 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Mazo landed 38% of her significant strikes by landing 64 of 165. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 50 of 149 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Davis and 100% of them connected on by Mazo were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Mariya Agapova, she fought Shana Dobson and wound up walking away in defeat by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Dobson ended up landing 25% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Agapova ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Agapova ended up landing 47% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 22 of 46. She connected on 18 of 40 significant strikes to the head. Dobson ended up connecting on 24 of 36 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 18 of 30 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Dobson ended up landing 41 of 59 while Agapova ended up landing 56 of 89 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Lupita Godinez meets Sam Hughes. Godinez looks to add a victory to her career total of 5-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'2". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 61". Hughes measures 5'5" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 5-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 64". In the grappling category, Lupita Godinez is able to score a takedown 3.00 times per 3 rounds while Sam Hughes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Godinez lands 2.67 strikes per min and is connecting on 54% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Sam Hughes, who is landing 54% of the strikes she has attempted and is connecting on 3.45 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Charlie Ontiveros is set to go up against Steve Garcia. Garcia holds a record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Ontiveros stands in at 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 11-7-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 78". Concerning grappling, Steve Garcia deflects 100% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the times he tries. Ontiveros is taking his opponents down on 0% of the attempts he tries and curbs 0% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Garcia is taking 2.52 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.31 strikes per minute. Ontiveros, at the same time, is absorbing 4.18 strikes per minute and connects on 0.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mariya Agapova (+126)

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Sabina Mazo vs Mariya Agapova Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

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