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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Raoni Barcelos vs Timur Valiev Pick, 6/26/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 30 Odds

Raoni Barcelos vs Timur Valiev Pick, 6/26/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 30 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/22/2021

raoni barcelos ufc

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Raoni Barcelos vs Timur Valiev

UFC Vegas 30

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 26, 2021

Raoni Barcelos will enter the Octagon against Timur Valiev at UFC Vegas 30 on Saturday, June 26, 2021. The opener has Barcelos coming in at -250 while Valiev is priced at +200.

Raoni Barcelos comes into this bout with a record of 16-1-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Timur "Lucky" Valiev comes in at 5'6" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 17-2-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 67". Concerning significant strikes, Raoni Barcelos is landing 5.59 per min while Timur Valiev lands 5.50 significant strikes per min. Barcelos is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Valiev is connecting on 71%. In terms of defending themselves, Barcelos absorbs 4.17 significant strikes per min and "Lucky" absorbs 1.55. Barcelos also defends 67% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Valiev is able to thwart 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 30 Raoni Barcelos Timur Valiev
Opening Odds -250 +200
Record 16-1-0 17-2-0
Average Fight Time 12:06 11:00
Height 5'7" 5'6"
Weight 135 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 67" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.59 5.50
Striking Accuracy 52% 71%

 

Concerning grappling, Raoni Barcelos is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.23 times per 15 min. Barcelos is scoring a takedown on 56% of the times he tries and stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Valiev is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Barcelos is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Valiev tries 0.4 subs per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Raoni Barcelos faced Khalid Taha and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Taha ended up landing 68 of 222 total strikes attempted in that fight. Barcelos walked away from this fight having landed 129 of 219 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Taha landed 49 of 202, which gave him a percentage of 24%. He landed 40 of 186 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Barcelos landed 57% of his significant strikes by sticking 120 of 207. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 85 of 166 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Taha and 90% of them connected on by Barcelos were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Timur Valiev, he went up against Martin Day and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Day ended up landing 75% of his significant strikes at distance while Valiev connected on 36% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Valiev connected on 72% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 55 of 76. He landed 37 of 53 significant strikes to the head. Day ended up connecting on 8 of 28 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 7 of 23 to the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Day ended up connecting on 24 of 46 while Valiev ended up landing 115 of 149 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Shavkat Rakhmonov battles Michel Prazeres. Rakhmonov walks into the cage holding a record of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Prazeres stands 5'6" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 26-3-0. The 39-year-old stretches 67". When it comes to grappling, Shavkat Rakhmonov takes his opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rds and Michel Prazeres takes his opponents to the mat 4.11 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Rakhmonov tags his opponents 2.79 strikes/min and connecting on 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Michel Prazeres, who tags the opposition on 47% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.44 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ramazan Emeev is set to square up in the Octagon with Warlley Alves. Alves steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Emeev measures 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 20-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 76". In terms of wrestling, Warlley Alves deflects 75% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 54% of the times he tries. Emeev is finishing his takedowns on 29% of his tries and defends against 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Alves is absorbing 3.62 strikes/min while he dishes out 3.09 per minute. Emeev, at the same time, takes 1.98 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.50 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Raoni Barcelos (-250)

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