Randy Costa vs Tony Kelley Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/7/2021

ufc picks Randy Costa predictions best bet odds

Randy Costa vs Tony Kelley

UFC 269

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Randy Costa will face off with Tony Kelley at UFC 269 on Saturday, December 11, 2021. The odds have Costa at -190 while Kelley is at +160.

Randy "The Zohan" Costa will be looking to add a win to his career total of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter reaches 73". Tony "Primetime" Kelley comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 7-2-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 70". Concerning significant strikes, Randy Costa connects on 8.64 per minute and Tony Kelley is landing 4.57 significant strikes per minute. Costa is landing 46% of the significant strikes he throws while Kelley lands 47%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Zohan" allows 6.86 significant strikes per minute while "Primetime" absorbs 4.77. Costa also defends 62% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Kelley defends against 43% of the shots thrown.

UFC 269	Randy Costa	Tony Kelley
Opening Odds	-190	+160
Record	6-2-0	7-2-0
Average Fight Time	4:05	15:00
Height	5'9"	5'9"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	73"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	8.64	4.57
Striking Accuracy	46%	47%

Concerning grappling, Randy Costa is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Costa is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his tries and is defending 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Kelley is scoring a takedown on 40% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the submission, Costa is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Kelley goes for 2.0 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Randy Costa squared up with Adrian Yanez and walked away with a loss via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Yanez landed 64 of 184 total strikes attempted in that contest. Costa finished this fight landing 69 of 153 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Yanez ended up landing 64 of 184, which means his percentage was 34%. He landed 41 of 146 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Costa landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 69 of 153. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 61 of 144 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Yanez and 100% of them landed by Costa were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tony Kelley, he faced off with Ali AlQaisi and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. AlQaisi connected on 93% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Kelley landed 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Kelley landed 37% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 23 of 62. He ended up connecting on 11 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. AlQaisi ended up connecting on 29 of 67 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 12 of 42 to the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, AlQaisi ended up connecting on 58 of 103 and Kelley was 61 of 109 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Amanda Nunes takes on Julianna Pena. Nunes will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 21-4-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Pena stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 11-4-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 69". In the grappling category, Amanda Nunes takes her opponents to the mat 2.50 times per 15 min and Julianna Pena takes her opponents to the canvas 2.49 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Nunes connects for an average of 4.50 strikes per minute and connects on 51% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Julianna Pena, who lands 47% of the strikes she attempts and lands 2.80 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Erin Blanchfield is set to face off against Miranda Maverick. Maverick walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 24-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Blanchfield measures 5'4" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 7-1-0. The 22-year-old reaches 66". Concerning wrestling, Miranda Maverick thwarts 70% of her opponents takedown tries and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 80% of her tries. Blanchfield is taking her opponents to the mat on 70% of her tries and thwarts 80% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Maverick is absorbing 2.66 strikes per min while she is landing 4.77 per minute. Blanchfield, on the other hand, absorbs 2.73 strikes per min and connects on 8.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tony Kelley (+160)

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Randy Costa vs Tony Kelley Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

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