Rafael Alves vs Damir Ismagulov Pick, 5/22/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 27 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/17/2021

Rafael Alves vs Damir Ismagulov

UFC Vegas 27

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 22, 2021

Rafael Alves will face off against Damir Ismagulov at UFC Vegas 27 on Saturday, May 22, 2021. The opening odds have Alves priced at +425 while Ismagulov is at -550.

Rafael "The Turn" Alves walks into the Octagon holding a record of 19-9-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Damir Ismagulov stands 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 22-1-0. The 30-year-old stretches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Rafael Alves lands 2.02 per minute while Damir Ismagulov lands 3.76 significant strikes per minute. Alves is landing 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Ismagulov is landing 43%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Turn" absorbs 3.66 significant strikes per minute while Ismagulov takes 1.87. Alves also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Ismagulov thwarts 69% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 27	Rafael Alves	Damir Ismagulov
Opening Odds	+425	-550
Record	19-9-0	22-1-0
Average Fight Time	7:55	15:00
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	68"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.02	3.76
Striking Accuracy	45%	43%

In the grappling category, Rafael Alves is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Alves is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of his tries and stuffing 70% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Ismagulov is taking his opponents to the mat on 31% of his takedown attempts and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Alves is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Ismagulov attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Rafael Alves faced Alejandro Flores and wound up getting the win via guillotine choke in round 2. Flores ended up landing 29 of 71 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Alves ended the night having landed 16 of 35 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Flores landed 29 of 71, which means his percentage was 40%. He ended up landing 6 of 38 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Alves landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 16 of 35. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 6 of 20 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Flores and 100% of them landed by Alves were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Damir Ismagulov, he fought Thiago Moises and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Moises ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Ismagulov landed 81% of his significant strikes at distance. Ismagulov landed 37% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 71 of 188. He ended up landing 28 of 132 significant strikes directed at the head. Moises ended up connecting on 36 of 114 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 88 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Moises landed 37 of 115 while Ismagulov landed 73 of 191 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Yan Xiaonan enters the Octagon with Carla Esparza. Xiaonan walks into the cage with a mark of 13-1-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Esparza stands in at 5'1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 18-6-0. The 33-year-old reaches 63". In terms of takedowns, Yan Xiaonan is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min while Carla Esparza takes her opponents to the canvas 3.44 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Xiaonan tags his opponents 6.42 strikes/min and connecting on 42% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Carla Esparza, who lands 42% of the strikes she attempts and is landing 2.29 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Norma Dumont is set to square up in the Octagon with Felicia Spencer. Spencer will be looking to add a victory to her total of 8-2-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Dumont measures 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 5-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". When it comes to takedowns, Felicia Spencer is able to deflect 14% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 10% of her tries. Dumont is taking her opponents to the mat on 42% of the attempts she tries and defends against 80% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Spencer is absorbing 5.57 strikes/min and she is dealing 3.02 strikes/min. Dumont, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.65 strikes/minute and is dealing 5.35 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Rafael Alves (+425)

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Rafael Alves vs Damir Ismagulov Pick, 5/22/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 27 Odds

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