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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Rafa Garcia vs Natan Levy Pick, 11/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 43 Odds

Rafa Garcia vs Natan Levy Pick, 11/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 43 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/16/2021

ufc picks Rafa Garcia predictions best bet odds

Rafa Garcia vs Natan Levy

UFC Vegas 43

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 20, 2021

Rafa Garcia will battle Natan Levy at UFC Vegas 43 on Saturday, November 20, 2021. The opening moneyline has Garcia priced at -105 while Levy is at -115.

Rafa "Gifted" Garcia will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Natan Levy stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 6-0-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 71". When talking about significant strikes, Rafa Garcia connects on 4.13 per min and Natan Levy is landing 1.65 significant strikes per min. Garcia lands 34% of the significant strikes he attempts and Levy is landing 60%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Gifted" takes 6.63 significant strikes per minute while Levy absorbs 0.82. Garcia also deflects 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Levy curbs 57% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 43 Rafa Garcia Natan Levy
Opening Odds -105 -115
Record 12-2-0 6-0-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 10:55
Height 5'7" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.13 1.65
Striking Accuracy 34% 60%

 

In terms of wrestling, Rafa Garcia is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.50 times per 15 min. Garcia is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries and stuffing 80% of all takedown attempts. Levy is finishing his takedowns on 80% of his takedown tries and thwarting 80% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Garcia is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.5 subs per 15 min while Levy looks to get 2.8 subs per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Rafa Garcia squared up with Chris Gruetzemacher and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Gruetzemacher landed 176 of 268 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Garcia ended the night having landed 90 of 166 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Gruetzemacher ended up landing 100 of 190, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 60 of 147 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Garcia ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 72 of 146. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 58 of 129 aimed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Gruetzemacher and 80% of them landed by Garcia were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Natan Levy, he faced off with Shaheen Santana and wound up getting the victory by an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Santana landed 88% of his significant strikes at distance and Levy ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes at distance. Levy landed 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 18 of 30. He ended up landing 14 of 26 significant strikes aimed at the head. Santana ended up landing 9 of 21 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 4 of 14 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Santana connected on 18 of 35 while Levy landed 40 of 54 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Durden goes up against Qileng Aori. Durden will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-3-1. The 30-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 67". Aori measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 18-8-0. The 28-year-old reaches 69". In terms of takedowns, Cody Durden is averaging a takedown 3.28 times per 15 min while Qileng Aori scores a takedown 3.00 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Durden lands 3.11 strikes per minute and is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Qileng Aori, who is connecting on 44% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 7.73 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Sean Soriano is set to square up in the Octagon against Shayilan Nuerdanbieke. Nuerdanbieke comes into this fight holding a mark of 19-7-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Soriano stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-7-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding wrestling, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is able to thwart 70% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 14% of his attempts. Soriano is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of his attempts and is able to curb 53% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Nuerdanbieke absorbs 3.53 strikes per minute and he lands 1.13 strikes/minute. Soriano, notwithstanding, takes 2.50 strikes per minute and is connecting on 3.49 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Rafa Garcia (-105)

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