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Philipe Lins vs Ovince Saint Preux Pick, 11/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 42 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/8/2021

ufc picks Philipe Lins predictions best bet odds

Philipe Lins vs Ovince Saint Preux

UFC Vegas 42

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 13, 2021

Philipe Lins will battle Ovince Saint Preux at UFC Vegas 42 on Saturday, November 13, 2021. The line has Lins coming in at -150 while Preux is priced at +130.

Philipe "Monstro" Lins comes into this bout with a mark of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old weighs 240 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Ovince Saint Preux comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 25-16-0. The 38-year-old stretches 80". Regarding significant strikes, Philipe Lins lands 2.66 per minute and Ovince Saint Preux is landing 2.65 significant strikes per min. Lins is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Saint Preux connects on 46%. Regarding defense, "Monstro" takes 3.68 significant strikes per min and Saint Preux absorbs 3.07. Lins also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Saint Preux deflects 45% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 42 Philipe Lins Ovince Saint Preux
Opening Odds -150 +130
Record 14-5-0 25-16-0
Average Fight Time 8:51 9:36
Height 6'2" 6'3"
Weight 240 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 78" 80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.66 2.65
Striking Accuracy 40% 46%

 

Regarding grappling, Philipe Lins is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min. Lins is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of the times he tries and is stuffing 20% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Saint Preux is scoring a takedown on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding sub attempts, Lins is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Saint Preux attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Philipe Lins faced Tanner Boser and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Boser ended up landing 15 of 22 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Lins finished this fight landing 6 of 17 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Boser landed 15 of 22, which gave him a percentage of 68%. He ended up landing 6 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lins landed 35% of his significant strikes by landing 6 of 17. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 3 of 9 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Boser and 100% of them connected on by Lins were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Ovince Saint Preux, he faced off with Tanner Boser and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 2. Boser connected on 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Preux ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Preux ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 21. He landed 2 of 13 significant strikes aimed at the head. Boser ended up connecting on 33 of 72 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 10 of 44 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Boser connected on 33 of 72 and Preux connected on 12 of 26 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Song Yadong faces off with Julio Arce. Yadong steps into the cage holding a record of 17-5-1. The 23-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Arce comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of takedowns, Song Yadong gets a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rounds and Julio Arce takes his opponents to the mat 0.52 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Yadong is landing 4.91 strikes/min and lands 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Julio Arce, who tags the opposition on 36% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 4.31 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Joel Alvarez is set to encounter Thiago Moises. Moises looks to add a victory to his record of 15-5-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Alvarez stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 18-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 77". Concerning wrestling, Thiago Moises stops 60% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of the times he tries. Alvarez is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 30% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Moises is absorbing 3.81 strikes/minute and he connects on 2.49 strikes/min. Alvarez, notwithstanding, is taking 3.31 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Philipe Lins (-150)

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