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Philipe Lins vs Azamat Murzakanov Pick, 12/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 44 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/30/2021

ufc picks Philipe Lins predictions best bet odds

Philipe Lins vs Azamat Murzakanov

UFC Vegas 44

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 4, 2021

Philipe Lins will enter the Octagon against Azamat Murzakanov at UFC Vegas 44 on Saturday, December 4, 2021. The opening odds have Lins at +200 while Murzakanov is at -227.

Philipe "Monstro" Lins comes into this bout holding a record of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 240 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Azamat "The Professional" Murzakanov comes in at 5'10" and will fight at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-0-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 71". When talking about significant strikes, Philipe Lins connects on 2.66 per min while Azamat Murzakanov connects on 3.00 significant strikes per min. Lins is landing 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Murzakanov is landing 52%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Monstro" absorbs 3.68 significant strikes per minute while "The Professional" takes 1.33. Lins also stops 49% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Murzakanov is able to stop 63% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 44 Philipe Lins Azamat Murzakanov
Opening Odds +200 -227
Record 14-5-0 10-0-0
Average Fight Time 8:51 3:00
Height 6'2" 5'10"
Weight 240 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 78" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.66 3.00
Striking Accuracy 40% 52%

 

Concerning wrestling, Philipe Lins is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Lins is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his tries and is stopping 30% of all takedowns attempted on him. Murzakanov is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the takedowns he tries and defending 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Lins is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Murzakanov goes for 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Philipe Lins went up against Tanner Boser and walked away with a loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Boser landed 15 of 22 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Lins finished this fight landing 6 of 17 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Boser landed 15 of 22, which gave him a rate of 68%. He ended up landing 6 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Lins ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by sticking 6 of 17. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 9 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Boser and 100% of them connected on by Lins were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Azamat Murzakanov, he squared up with Matheus Scheffel and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Scheffel landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Murzakanov ended up landing 77% of his significant strikes at distance. Murzakanov ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 17. He ended up connecting on 5 of 13 significant strikes to the head. Scheffel ended up landing 4 of 11 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 7 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Scheffel was 4 of 11 and Murzakanov landed 9 of 17 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alex Morono squares up with Mickey Gall. Morono steps into the cage holding a record of 20-7-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Gall measures 6'2" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 7-3-0. The 29-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to grappling, Alex Morono takes his opponents to the mat 0.38 times per 3 rds while Mickey Gall takes his opponents to the canvas 1.32 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Morono is connecting on 5.14 strikes per minute and connects on 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Mickey Gall, who is landing 46% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 2.60 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Vince Morales is set to square up in the Octagon with Louis Smolka. Smolka steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-7-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Morales measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 70". Concerning grappling, Louis Smolka thwarts 31% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 37% of the times he tries. Morales is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Smolka is taking 3.74 strikes per minute and he connects on 4.44 strikes per min. Morales, in contrast, is taking 4.06 strikes/min and dishes out 4.39 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Philipe Lins (+200)

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