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Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn Pick, 10/9/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 39 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/5/2021

ufc picks Deron Winn predictions best bet odds

Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn

UFC Vegas 39

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 9, 2021

Phil Hawes will enter the Octagon with Deron Winn at UFC Vegas 39 on Saturday, October 9, 2021. The opener has Hawes priced at -280 while Winn is at +220.

Phil "Megatron" Hawes looks to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Deron Winn stands in at 5'6" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 7-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of significant strikes, Phil Hawes is connecting on 3.44 per minute while Deron Winn connects on 4.74 significant strikes per min. Hawes is connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he throws while Winn is connecting on 47%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Megatron" allows 3.29 significant strikes per minute while Winn allows 5.17. Hawes also defends 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Winn thwarts 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 39 Phil Hawes Deron Winn
Opening Odds -280 +220
Record 11-2-0 7-2-0
Average Fight Time 7:47 14:18
Height 6'0" 5'6"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 77" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.44 4.74
Striking Accuracy 58% 47%

 

In the category of takedowns, Phil Hawes is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.70 times per 3 rounds. Hawes is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his attempts and thwarting 100% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Winn is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 0% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submission attempts, Hawes is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Winn goes for 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Phil Hawes fought Kyle Daukaus and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Daukaus landed 52 of 113 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Hawes finished this fight landing 157 of 210 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Daukaus landed 28 of 82, which gave him a percentage of 34%. He ended up landing 20 of 68 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Hawes landed 65% of his significant strikes by sticking 66 of 101. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 42 of 75 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Daukaus and 50% of them connected on by Hawes were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Deron Winn, he went up against Antonio Arroyo and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Arroyo ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Winn landed 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Winn landed 52% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 20 of 38. He ended up connecting on 10 of 26 significant strikes to the head. Arroyo ended up landing 45 of 62 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 29 of 45 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Arroyo connected on 70 of 87 while Winn ended up connecting on 64 of 89 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Chris Gutierrez enters the Octagon against Felipe Colares. Gutierrez comes into this bout with a record of 16-3-2. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Colares stands 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 69". Regarding grappling, Chris Gutierrez gets his opposition to the mat 0.57 times per 15 min and Felipe Colares gets a takedown 2.00 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Gutierrez connects on 4.30 strikes per min and lands 57% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Felipe Colares, who tags his opponent on 51% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 2.15 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Laureano Staropoli is set to battle Jamie Pickett. Pickett has a mark of 11-6-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Staropoli comes in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 9-4-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 71". Concerning grappling, Jamie Pickett deflects 37% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his tries. Staropoli is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his tries and thwarts 52% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Pickett absorbs 5.35 strikes/minute while he is dealing 2.87 per min. Staropoli, at the same time, is taking 3.85 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.64 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Deron Winn (+220)

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