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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Paulo Costa vs Marvin Vettori Pick, 10/23/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 41 Odds

Paulo Costa vs Marvin Vettori Pick, 10/23/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 41 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/19/2021

ufc picks Paulo Costa predictions best bet odds

Paulo Costa vs Marvin Vettori

UFC Vegas 41

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 23, 2021

Paulo Costa will face off with Marvin Vettori at UFC Vegas 41 on Saturday, October 23, 2021. The opening odds have Costa coming in at +116 while Vettori is at -142.

Paulo "The Eraser" Costa comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs. and measures 6' 1". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori comes in at 6' 0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs.. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 17-5-1. The 28-year-old has a reach of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Paulo Costa connects on 7.03 per minute while Marvin Vettori connects on 3.88 significant strikes per minute. Costa lands 57% of the significant strikes he attempts while Vettori is connecting on 43%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Eraser" takes 6.70 significant strikes per min while "The Italian Dream" allows 3.04. Costa also defends against 50% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Vettori is able to curb 63% of them.

 

UFC Vegas 41 Paulo Costa Marvin Vettori
Opening Odds +116 -142
Record 13-1-0 17-5-1
Average Fight Time 7:34 15:48
Height 6' 1" 6' 0"
Weight 185 lbs. 185 lbs.
Reach 72" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.03 3.88
Striking Accuracy 57% 43%

 

Concerning grappling, Paulo Costa is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Costa is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times he tries and thwarting 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Vettori is finishing his takedown attempts on 47% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 78% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Costa is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Vettori attempts 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Paulo Costa went up against Israel Adesanya and walked away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Adesanya ended up landing 55 of 84 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Costa finished this fight landing 12 of 26 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Adesanya ended up landing 55 of 84, which gave him a percentage of 65%. He finished the fight landing 24 of 51 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Costa landed 46% of his significant strikes by landing 12 of 26. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 13 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Adesanya and 100% of them landed by Costa were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Marvin Vettori, he battled Israel Adesanya and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 5. Adesanya ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Vettori landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Vettori ended up connecting on 32% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 58 of 176. He ended up landing 42 of 158 significant strikes aimed at the head. Adesanya connected on 96 of 181 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 44 of 118 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Adesanya ended up connecting on 122 of 208 and Vettori ended up connecting on 91 of 211 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Grant Dawson takes on Ricky Glenn. Dawson comes into this bout with a record of 17-1-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs. and measures in at 5' 10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 72". Glenn comes in at 6' 0" and tips the scales at 145 lbs.. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 22-6-1. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding grappling, Grant Dawson takes his opponents down 3.44 times per 3 rounds and Ricky Glenn gets a takedown 0.66 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Dawson lands an average of 3.40 strikes per min and connects on 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Ricky Glenn, who is landing 42% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.39 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Seung Woo Choi is set to square up in the Octagon with Alex Caceres. Caceres has a mark of 18-12-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs. and stands in at 5' 10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Woo Choi stands 6' 0" and is fighting at 145 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-3-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 74". In terms of grappling, Alex Caceres prevents 64% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 78% of the times he tries. Woo Choi is taking his opponents down on 57% of his tries and stops 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Caceres is absorbing 2.82 strikes/minute and he deals 4.10 per minute. Woo Choi, at the same time, absorbs 2.55 strikes per minute and is landing 3.31 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Paulo Costa (+116)

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