Paul Craig vs Jamahal Hill Pick, 6/12/2021 Predictions UFC 263 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/9/2021

Paul Craig vs Jamahal Hill

UFC 263

Gila River Arena in Glendale, AZ

Saturday, June 12, 2021

Paul Craig will battle Jamahal Hill at UFC 263 on Saturday, June 12, 2021. The odds have Craig coming in at +240 while Hill is coming in at -280.

Paul "Bearjew" Craig walks into the cage holding a record of 14-4-1. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill stands in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-0-0. The 30-year-old reaches 79". Regarding significant strikes, Paul Craig is landing 2.40 per min and Jamahal Hill is connecting on 7.90 significant strikes per min. Craig is landing 49% of the significant strikes he throws and Hill connects on 52%. In terms of defending themselves, "Bearjew" allows 2.43 significant strikes per min while "Sweet Dreams" absorbs 3.15. Craig also deflects 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Hill stops 49% of them.

UFC 263	Paul Craig	Jamahal Hill
Opening Odds	+240	-280
Record	14-4-1	8-0-0
Average Fight Time	8:25	8:44
Height	6'3"	6'4"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.40	7.90
Striking Accuracy	49%	52%

Concerning takedowns, Paul Craig is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 2.11 times per 3 rounds. Craig is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of his attempts and stopping 55% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Hill is taking his opponents down on 30% of his takedown attempts and defending 53% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Craig is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Hill goes for 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Paul Craig went up against Mauricio Rua and ended up winning this fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Rua landed 25 of 46 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Craig ended the night having landed 54 of 88 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Rua ended up landing 10 of 28, giving him a percentage of 35%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Craig landed 50% of his significant strikes by landing 29 of 57. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 38 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Rua and 55% of them connected on by Craig were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jamahal Hill, he fought Ovince Saint Preux and took home the win by a punch to the head in round 2. Preux ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Hill ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Hill ended up connecting on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 68 of 128. He ended up connecting on 39 of 92 significant strikes directed at the head. Preux ended up connecting on 36 of 72 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 7 of 36 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Preux ended up connecting on 37 of 73 and Hill landed 68 of 128 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Drew Dober squares up against Brad Riddell. Dober will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-10-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Riddell comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 9-1-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 71". When it comes to grappling, Drew Dober scores a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds and Brad Riddell gets a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Dober lands 4.33 strikes per minute and is connecting on 40% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Brad Riddell, who is landing 50% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 4.36 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Darren Stewart is set to enter the Octagon against Eryk Anders. Anders comes into this bout with a mark of 13-5-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Stewart comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to takedowns, Eryk Anders thwarts 80% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of his tries. Stewart is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his attempts and is able to defend against 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Anders takes 4.15 strikes per min and he dishes out 3.23 strikes per minute. Stewart, on the other side, is absorbing 3.09 strikes/min and deals 3.09 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Paul Craig (+240)

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Paul Craig vs Jamahal Hill Pick, 6/12/2021 Predictions UFC 263 Odds

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