Omari Akhmedov vs Tom Breese Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/11/2021

Omari Akhmedov vs Tom Breese

UFC on ABC 1

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Omari Akhmedov will enter the Octagon against Tom Breese at UFC on ABC 1 on Saturday, January 16, 2021. The line has Akhmedov coming in at +130 while Breese is coming in at -150.

Omari "Wolverine" Akhmedov steps into the cage with a mark of 20-5-1. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Tom Breese Breese measures in at 6'3" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 73". Concerning significant strikes, Omari Akhmedov is connecting on 2.92 per minute and Tom Breese lands 3.77 significant strikes per minute. Akhmedov connects on 34% of the significant strikes he throws and Breese lands 51%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Wolverine" absorbs 2.69 significant strikes per min while Breese takes 2.68. Akhmedov also prevents 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Breese prevents 63% of them.

In the grappling category, Omari Akhmedov is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.56 times per 3 rds. Akhmedov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts and is stuffing 65% of all takedown tries against him. Breese is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of his takedown tries and stopping 75% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Akhmedov is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Breese looks to get 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Omari Akhmedov fought Chris Weidman and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Weidman landed 67 of 98 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Akhmedov walked away from this fight having landed 60 of 118 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Weidman landed 29 of 56, which gave him a rate of 51%. He ended up landing 25 of 50 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Akhmedov landed 36% of his significant strikes by connecting on 33 of 91. Of all the significant strikes, he was 25 of 81 to the head. 58% of the significant strikes landed by Weidman and 63% of them landed by Akhmedov were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tom Breese, he went up against KB Bhullar and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Bhullar ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Breese landed 64% of his significant strikes at distance. Breese connected on 62% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 17 of 27. He ended up landing 15 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. Bhullar connected on 2 of 15 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 0 of 9 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Bhullar was 2 of 16 and Breese ended up connecting on 18 of 28 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Carlos Felipe squares up against Justin Tafa. Felipe steps into the cage with a mark of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 245 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Tafa measures 6'0" and will fight at 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 4-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". In the grappling category, Carlos Felipe takes his opponents to the mat 1.70 times per 15 min and Justin Tafa scores a takedown 1.50 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Felipe tags his opponents 4.07 strikes/minute and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Justin Tafa, who lands 66% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.86 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Ramazan Emeev is set to square up against David Zawada. Zawada holds a career record of 17-5-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Emeev measures 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-4-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding wrestling, David Zawada is able to deflect 60% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 22% of his tries. Emeev is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of his tries and is able to stop 72% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Zawada takes 4.32 strikes per minute while he deals 3.38 per min. Emeev, on the other side, takes 1.79 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Omari Akhmedov (+130)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Vernon Croy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Omari Akhmedov vs Tom Breese Pick, 1/16/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 1 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks