Nina Ansaroff vs Mackenzie Dern Pick, 4/10/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 2 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/7/2021

Nina Ansaroff vs Mackenzie Dern

UFC on ABC 2

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 10, 2021

Nina Ansaroff will enter the Octagon against Mackenzie Dern at UFC on ABC 2 on Saturday, April 10, 2021. The odds have Ansaroff coming in at -140 while Dern is coming in at +120.

Nina Ansaroff will be looking to add a win to her career total of 10-6-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Mackenzie Dern measures 5'4" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 63". With respect to significant strikes, Nina Ansaroff connects on 4.81 per min and Mackenzie Dern is landing 3.74 significant strikes per min. Ansaroff is landing 47% of the significant strikes she attempts while Dern lands 38%. When it comes to defending themselves, Ansaroff allows 3.55 significant strikes per min and Dern absorbs 3.81. Ansaroff also thwarts 54% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Dern is able to deflect 61% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC on ABC 2	Nina Ansaroff	Mackenzie Dern
Opening Odds	-140	+120
Record	10-6-0	10-1-0
Average Fight Time	14:48	8:58
Height	5'5"	5'4"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	64"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.81	3.74
Striking Accuracy	47%	38%

When it comes to grappling, Nina Ansaroff is the more apt wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.29 times per 3 rds. Ansaroff is getting her opponent to the mat on 40% of the times she tries and thwarting 77% of all takedown attempts. Dern is getting her opponent to the mat on 5% of her takedown tries and thwarting 30% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Ansaroff is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rds while Dern tries 2.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

In her last appearance in the Octagon, Nina Ansaroff squared up with Tatiana Suarez and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Suarez ended up landing 95 of 166 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Ansaroff ended the night having landed 54 of 105 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Suarez ended up landing 75 of 142, which gave her a rate of 52%. She finished the fight landing 29 of 85 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Ansaroff ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 48 of 99. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she was 31 of 66 to the head. 56% of the significant strikes landed by Suarez and 81% of them landed by Ansaroff were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Mackenzie Dern, she went up against Virna Jandiroba and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Jandiroba ended up connecting on 68% of her significant strikes at distance and Dern ended up landing 75% of her significant strikes at distance. Dern connected on 47% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 82 of 174. She ended up connecting on 57 of 143 significant strikes aimed at the head. Jandiroba ended up connecting on 63 of 134 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up landing 46 of 113 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that she let go in that contest, Jandiroba connected on 80 of 152 while Dern landed 101 of 195 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Marvin Vettori squares up with Kevin Holland. Vettori comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-4-1. The 27-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Holland comes in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 21-6-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 81". Concerning takedowns, Marvin Vettori scores a takedown 1.33 times per 3 rounds and Kevin Holland scores a takedown 1.08 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Vettori lands an average of 4.78 strikes/minute and is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Kevin Holland, who connects on 56% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 4.14 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Sodiq Yusuff is set to enter the Octagon against Arnold Allen. Allen will be looking to add a victory to his total of 16-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Yusuff comes in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of grappling, Arnold Allen is thwarting 76% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of his attempts. Yusuff is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 72% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Allen absorbs 2.00 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 3.19 per minute. Yusuff, on the contrary, takes 4.06 strikes/minute and connects on 6.10 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Nina Ansaroff (-140)

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Nina Ansaroff vs Mackenzie Dern Pick, 4/10/2021 Predictions UFC on ABC 2 Odds

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