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Niklas Stolze vs Mounir Lazzez Pick, 7/31/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 33 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/27/2021

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Niklas Stolze vs Mounir Lazzez

UFC Vegas 33

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 31, 2021

Niklas Stolze will battle Mounir Lazzez at UFC Vegas 33 on Saturday, July 31, 2021. The opening line has Stolze coming in at +168 while Lazzez is priced at -210.

Niklas "Green Mask" Stolze walks into the cage with a record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The switch fighter has a reach of 74". Mounir "The Sniper" Lazzez measures 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 76". With respect to significant strikes, Niklas Stolze is connecting on 2.00 per minute while Mounir Lazzez lands 5.69 significant strikes per min. Stolze lands 41% of the significant strikes he throws while Lazzez lands 55%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Green Mask" takes 1.93 significant strikes per min and "The Sniper" absorbs 4.78. Stolze also prevents 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Lazzez is able to deflect 45% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 33 Niklas Stolze Mounir Lazzez
Opening Odds +168 -210
Record 12-4-0 10-2-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 8:48
Height 6'1" 6'1"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 74" 76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.00 5.69
Striking Accuracy 41% 55%

 

In terms of wrestling, Niklas Stolze is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min. Stolze is getting his opponent to the mat on 80% of his tries and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Lazzez is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the sub, Stolze is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 15 min while Lazzez looks to get 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Niklas Stolze fought Ramazan Emeev and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Emeev ended up landing 67 of 114 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Stolze walked away from this fight having landed 41 of 85 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Emeev ended up landing 29 of 67, which means his percentage was 43%. He ended up landing 22 of 59 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Stolze ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by landing 30 of 72. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 13 of 42 aimed at the head. 65% of the significant strikes connected on by Emeev and 90% of them connected on by Stolze were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Mounir Lazzez, he squared up with Warlley Alves and was defeated by a kick to the body in round 1. Alves ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes at distance and Lazzez connected on 0% of his significant strikes at distance. Lazzez connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 2 of 2. He landed 1 of 1 significant strikes directed at the head. Alves ended up landing 17 of 21 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 9 of 12 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Alves landed 24 of 30 while Lazzez was 2 of 2 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Collin Anglin squares up with Melsik Baghdasaryan. Anglin holds a career record of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Baghdasaryan comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 5-1-0. The 29-year-old stretches 70". In the grappling category, Collin Anglin takes his opponents to the mat 3.00 times per 15 minutes while Melsik Baghdasaryan scores a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Anglin lands an average of 5.87 strikes/min and landing 55% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Melsik Baghdasaryan, who lands 64% of the strikes he has tried and lands 6.80 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Rafa Garcia is set to square up against Chris Gruetzemacher. Gruetzemacher has a career record of 14-4-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Garcia measures 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 70". In terms of wrestling, Chris Gruetzemacher curbs 62% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his attempts. Garcia is taking his opponents down on 30% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 80% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Gruetzemacher is absorbing 5.54 strikes/min while he is dealing 7.02 strikes per minute. Garcia, at the same time, is taking 6.60 strikes per min and is dealing 3.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Mounir Lazzez (-210)

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