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Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/21/2021

ufc picks Robbie Lawler predictions best bet odds

Nick Diaz vs Robbie Lawler

UFC 266

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Nick Diaz will enter the Octagon with Robbie Lawler at UFC 266 on Saturday, September 25, 2021. The moneyline has Diaz priced at -104 while Lawler is priced at -118.

Nick Diaz comes into this fight with a record of 26-9-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 76". Robbie "Ruthless" Lawler measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 28-15-0. The 39-year-old has an arm span of 74". With respect to significant strikes, Nick Diaz connects on 5.43 per minute and Robbie Lawler is landing 3.50 significant strikes per minute. Diaz is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Lawler connects on 45%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Diaz allows 3.56 significant strikes per minute while "Ruthless" absorbs 4.16. Diaz also deflects 61% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Lawler is able to defend against 60% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC 266 Nick Diaz Robbie Lawler
Opening Odds -104 -118
Record 26-9-0 28-15-0
Average Fight Time 11:21 11:39
Height 6'1" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 76" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.43 3.50
Striking Accuracy 42% 45%

 

Regarding grappling, Nick Diaz is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he gets a takedown 1.32 times per 3 rounds. Diaz is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries and thwarting 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Lawler is taking his opponents to the mat on 64% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 64% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Diaz is the more skilled fighter by going for 1.0 finish per 3 rds while Lawler attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Nick Diaz went up against Anderson Silva and ended up winning this fight by a failed post fight drug test by Silva in round 5. Silva landed 108 of 217 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Diaz finished this fight landing 80 of 226 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Silva ended up landing 108 of 217, which gave him a rate of 49%. He landed 57 of 155 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Diaz ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by sticking 77 of 223. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 39 of 140 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Silva and 93% of them connected on by Diaz were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Robbie Lawler, he squared up with Neil Magny and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Magny landed 62% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Lawler connected on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lawler ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 26 of 45. He ended up landing 18 of 36 significant strikes directed at the head. Magny ended up landing 62 of 88 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 36 of 61 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Magny landed 116 of 144 and Lawler ended up connecting on 41 of 62 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Curtis Blaydes enters the Octagon against Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Blaydes comes into this bout with a record of 14-3-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Rozenstruik stands in at 6'2" and weighs in at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 12-2-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 78". When it comes to grappling, Curtis Blaydes is averaging a takedown 6.64 times per 15 minutes while Jairzinho Rozenstruik gets a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Blaydes connects on 3.59 strikes per minute and is landing 53% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Jairzinho Rozenstruik, who is landing 49% of the strikes that he throws and lands 3.15 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Merab Dvalishvili is set to enter the Octagon with Marlon Moraes. Moraes steps into the cage holding a mark of 23-8-1. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Dvalishvili stands in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-4-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding wrestling, Marlon Moraes is able to curb 66% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of his attempts. Dvalishvili is finishing his takedown tries on 43% of his attempts and is able to defend against 78% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Moraes is absorbing 4.11 strikes per min and he is dishing out 3.38 strikes per minute. Dvalishvili, on the contrary, takes 2.22 strikes/min and connects on 4.02 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Robbie Lawler (-118)

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