Neil Magny vs Geoff Neal Pick, 5/8/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 26 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/5/2021

Neil Magny vs Geoff Neal

UFC Vegas 26

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 8, 2021

Neil Magny will enter the Octagon with Geoff Neal at UFC Vegas 26 on Saturday, May 8, 2021. The opening moneyline has Magny priced at +165 while Neal is coming in at -190.

Neil "The Haitian Sensation" Magny walks into the cage with a record of 24-9-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Geoff "Handz of Steel" Neal stands in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Neil Magny is connecting on 3.67 per minute while Geoff Neal connects on 4.94 significant strikes per minute. Magny lands 47% of the significant strikes he tries while Neal is connecting on 49%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Haitian Sensation" takes 2.05 significant strikes per min and "Handz of Steel" allows 4.93. Magny also deflects 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Neal is able to stop 61% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 26	Neil Magny	Geoff Neal
Opening Odds	+165	-190
Record	24-9-0	13-3-0
Average Fight Time	12:42	8:37
Height	6'3"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	80"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.67	4.94
Striking Accuracy	47%	49%

Concerning grappling, Neil Magny is the more productive grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.46 times per 3 rds. Magny is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his tries and is defending 57% of the attempts against him. Neal is scoring a takedown on 50% of his takedown tries and is defending 92% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Magny is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 min while Neal attempts 0.2 subs per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Neil Magny went up against Michael Chiesa and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 5. Chiesa ended up landing 93 of 125 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Magny ended the night having landed 52 of 96 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Chiesa ended up landing 24 of 52, giving him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 19 of 43 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Magny landed 24% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 12 of 50. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 7 of 42 to the head. 41% of the significant strikes landed by Chiesa and 66% of them landed by Magny were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Geoff Neal, he fought Stephen Thompson and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 5. Thompson connected on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Neal landed 92% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Neal connected on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 85 of 179. He connected on 71 of 161 significant strikes to the head. Thompson connected on 171 of 406 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 124 of 354 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Thompson was 191 of 428 and Neal ended up landing 110 of 205 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Maurice Greene squares up with Marcos Rogerio de Lima. Greene looks to add a victory to his total of 9-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 258 lbs and measures in at 6'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Rogerio de Lima stands in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 253 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 17-8-1. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the grappling category, Maurice Greene takes his opponents down 0.30 times per 15 min while Marcos Rogerio de Lima scores a takedown 0.71 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Greene connects for an average of 4.12 strikes per min and is landing 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Marcos Rogerio de Lima, who is landing 54% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.78 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Gregor Gillespie is set to face off with Diego Ferreira. Ferreira comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-3-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Gillespie comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-1-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 71". Concerning wrestling, Diego Ferreira is preventing 68% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 26% of his tries. Gillespie is taking his opponents down on 47% of his attempts and defends against 40% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Ferreira is absorbing 3.26 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.85 strikes/min. Gillespie, on the other hand, absorbs 2.14 strikes/min and is landing 3.58 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Neil Magny (+165)

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