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Nate Landwehr vs Julian Erosa Pick, 2/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 19 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/17/2021

nate landwehr ufc

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Nate Landwehr vs Julian Erosa

UFC Vegas 19

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 20, 2021

Nate Landwehr will enter the Octagon against Julian Erosa at UFC Vegas 19 on Saturday, February 20, 2021. The opening odds have Landwehr priced at -105 while Erosa is priced at -115.

Nate "The Train" Landwehr has a career mark of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Julian "Juicy J" Erosa measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 24-9-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding significant strikes, Nate Landwehr connects on 6.89 per minute and Julian Erosa connects on 4.92 significant strikes per min. Landwehr is landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempts and Erosa is landing 46%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Train" absorbs 7.22 significant strikes per minute and "Juicy J" absorbs 5.67. Landwehr also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Erosa is able to stop 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 19 Nate Landwehr Julian Erosa
Opening Odds -105 -115
Record 14-3-0 24-9-0
Average Fight Time 8:52 9:35
Height 5'9" 6'1"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 72" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.89 4.92
Striking Accuracy 50% 46%

 

Concerning grappling, Nate Landwehr is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 3 rounds. Landwehr is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his attempts and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Erosa is getting his opponent to the mat on 54% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 58% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Landwehr is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Erosa goes for 0.9 finishes per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Nate Landwehr fought Darren Elkins and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Elkins landed 142 of 276 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Landwehr walked away from this fight having landed 121 of 237 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Elkins landed 121 of 253, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He finished the fight landing 101 of 229 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Landwehr landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 118 of 234. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 96 of 211 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Elkins and 81% of them landed by Landwehr were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Julian Erosa, he squared up with Sean Woodson and wound up taking home the victory by way of d'arce choke in round 3. Woodson ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance and Erosa connected on 81% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Erosa landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 103 of 206. He landed 61 of 144 significant strikes to the head. Woodson connected on 106 of 219 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 93 of 203 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Woodson connected on 116 of 230 while Erosa landed 107 of 210 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Chas Skelly encounters Jamall Emmers. Skelly steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-3-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Emmers measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 18-5-0. The 31-year-old reaches 74". In the grappling category, Chas Skelly takes his opponents to the canvas 1.71 times per 15 min and Jamall Emmers is averaging a takedown 2.90 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Skelly connects on 2.02 strikes per min and is connecting on 40% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Jamall Emmers, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 5.75 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Drako Rodriguez is set to go up against Aiemann Zahabi. Zahabi comes into this bout with a record of 7-2-0. The 33-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Rodriguez measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 7-1-0. The 24-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding wrestling, Aiemann Zahabi is able to stop 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is getting his opponent to the mat on 16% of his attempts. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 30% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Zahabi is absorbing 3.93 strikes per min while he is connecting on 2.81 strikes/minute. Rodriguez, on the contrary, takes 2.11 strikes per minute and is connecting on 1.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Nate Landwehr (-105)

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