Montana De La Rosa vs Ariane Lipski Pick, 6/5/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 28 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/2/2021

Montana De La Rosa vs Ariane Lipski

UFC Vegas 28

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 5, 2021

Montana De La Rosa will enter the Octagon with Ariane Lipski at UFC Vegas 28 on Saturday, June 5, 2021. The odds have Rosa coming in at -255 while Lipski is coming in at +215.

Montana De La Rosa De La Rosa steps into the cage with a mark of 11-6-1. The 26-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Ariane "Queen of Violence" Lipski stands in at 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-6-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Montana De La Rosa lands 2.85 per minute while Ariane Lipski is connecting on 3.03 significant strikes per minute. De La Rosa connects on 36% of the significant strikes she attempts while Lipski lands 32%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, De La Rosa absorbs 3.39 significant strikes per minute and "Queen of Violence" takes 4.45. De La Rosa also thwarts 45% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Lipski stops 48% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 28	Montana De La Rosa	Ariane Lipski
Opening Odds	-255	+215
Record	11-6-1	13-6-0
Average Fight Time	12:00	11:12
Height	5'7"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	68"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.85	3.03
Striking Accuracy	36%	32%

When it comes to grappling, Montana De La Rosa is the more capable wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 2.14 times per 3 rds. De La Rosa is finishing her takedown attempts on 28% of the times she tries and stopping 57% of the takedowns her opponents try. Lipski is getting her opponent to the mat on 25% of her takedown tries and thwarting 45% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding submission attempts, De La Rosa is the more apt fighter by trying 1.2 finishes per 3 rds while Lipski looks to get 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

In her previous fight, Montana De La Rosa faced Mayra Bueno Silva and ended up in a draw by majority decision in round 3. Silva landed 111 of 142 total strikes that she let go. Rosa walked away from this fight having landed 107 of 156 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Silva ended up landing 52 of 80, which gave her a percentage of 65%. She landed 28 of 53 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Rosa ended up landing 41% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 30 of 72. Of all the significant strikes, she was 19 of 56 pointed at the head. 38% of the significant strikes connected on by Silva and 76% of them connected on by Rosa were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Ariane Lipski, she went up against Antonina Shevchenko and walked away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 2. Shevchenko connected on 20% of her significant strikes at distance and Lipski landed 86% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Lipski ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 15 of 26. She landed 7 of 15 significant strikes directed at the head. Shevchenko connected on 39 of 57 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 32 of 50 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that she let go in that fight, Shevchenko ended up landing 94 of 128 and Lipski was 25 of 36 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Manon Fiorot meets Maryna Moroz. Fiorot will be looking to add a victory to her total of 6-1-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Moroz comes in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 10-3-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding grappling, Manon Fiorot is able to score a takedown 1.64 times per 3 rds and Maryna Moroz takes her opponents to the mat 0.56 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Fiorot is landing 5.80 strikes per min and lands 53% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Maryna Moroz, who is landing 31% of the strikes she has attempted and connects for an average of 4.09 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Augusto Sakai is set to square up in the Octagon against Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Rozenstruik will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-2-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 242 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Sakai stands 6'3" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-2-1. The 30-year-old stretches 77". In terms of wrestling, Jairzinho Rozenstruik is able to curb 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the times he tries. Sakai is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 66% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Rozenstruik takes 3.48 strikes/min while he dishes out 3.14 strikes per minute. Sakai, on the other side, is absorbing 4.02 strikes per minute and lands 5.32 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Montana De La Rosa (-255)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 23, 2024 @ 11:59 PM
Expert:	Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Montana De La Rosa vs Ariane Lipski Pick, 6/5/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 28 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks