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Misha Cirkunov vs Krzysztof Jotko Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Krzysztof Jotko predictions best bet odds

Misha Cirkunov vs Krzysztof Jotko

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Misha Cirkunov will enter the Octagon with Krzysztof Jotko at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The moneyline has Cirkunov coming in at +132 while Jotko is at -162.

Misha Cirkunov walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Krzysztof Jotko measures 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 77". With respect to significant strikes, Misha Cirkunov lands 4.18 per minute and Krzysztof Jotko is landing 2.94 significant strikes per minute. Cirkunov connects on 51% of the significant strikes he tries and Jotko is landing 41%. In terms of defending themselves, Cirkunov absorbs 3.22 significant strikes per min while Jotko absorbs 2.20. Cirkunov also defends against 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Jotko is able to thwart 57% of them.

 

UFC Vegas 38 Misha Cirkunov Krzysztof Jotko
Opening Odds +132 -162
Record 15-6-0 22-5-0
Average Fight Time 3:51 12:54
Height 6'3" 6'1"
Weight 205 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 77" 77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.18 2.94
Striking Accuracy 51% 41%

 

Concerning wrestling, Misha Cirkunov is the more apt wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 4.28 times per 15 minutes. Cirkunov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 57% of his tries and is defending 71% of all takedown tries against him. Jotko is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 87% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Cirkunov is the more skilled technician by going for 2.3 subs per 15 min while Jotko attempts 0.1 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Misha Cirkunov went up against Ryan Spann and ended up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Spann ended up landing 16 of 29 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Cirkunov ended the night having landed 5 of 18 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Spann ended up landing 16 of 29, giving him a percentage of 55%. He landed 14 of 27 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Cirkunov landed 27% of his significant strikes by sticking 5 of 18. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 5 of 18 aimed at the head. 25% of the significant strikes landed by Spann and 100% of them landed by Cirkunov were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Krzysztof Jotko, he squared up with Sean Strickland and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Strickland connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Jotko landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Jotko connected on 18% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 37 of 196. He ended up connecting on 17 of 163 significant strikes to the head. Strickland ended up connecting on 84 of 182 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 46 of 130 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Strickland ended up connecting on 84 of 182 while Jotko ended up connecting on 37 of 196 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alexander Hernandez enters the Octagon against Mike Breeden. Hernandez looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Breeden measures 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 70". When it comes to grappling, Alexander Hernandez scores a takedown 1.60 times per 15 minutes while Mike Breeden takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Hernandez connects for an average of 3.57 strikes per min and connects on 35% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Mike Breeden, who tags the opposition on 34% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.00 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Jared Gordon is set to face off with Joe Solecki. Solecki looks to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Gordon stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-4-0. The 33-year-old stretches 68". In terms of grappling, Joe Solecki is able to deflect 0% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his attempts. Gordon is finishing his takedowns on 39% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 55% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Solecki is absorbing 0.85 strikes per minute and he deals 2.68 per minute. Gordon, moreover, is taking 3.22 strikes/minute and is landing 5.54 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Krzysztof Jotko (-162)

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