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Mike Rodriguez vs Tafon Nchukwi Pick, 9/18/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 37 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/14/2021

ufc picks Tafon Nchukwi predictions best bet odds

Mike Rodriguez vs Tafon Nchukwi

UFC Vegas 37

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 18, 2021

Mike Rodriguez will take on Tafon Nchukwi at UFC Vegas 37 on Saturday, September 18, 2021. The moneyline has Rodriguez at +106 while Nchukwi is at -130.

Mike "Slo Mike" Rodriguez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 11-6-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 82". Tafon "Da Don" Nchukwi measures in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 5-1-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 77". In terms of significant strikes, Mike Rodriguez is connecting on 4.61 per min while Tafon Nchukwi connects on 6.08 significant strikes per min. Rodriguez connects on 59% of the significant strikes he attempts while Nchukwi lands 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Slo Mike" allows 3.39 significant strikes per minute while "Da Don" allows 4.48. Rodriguez also curbs 40% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Nchukwi thwarts 51% of the shots thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 37 Mike Rodriguez Tafon Nchukwi
Opening Odds +106 -130
Record 11-6-0 5-1-0
Average Fight Time 7:39 12:20
Height 6'4" 6'0"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 82" 77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.61 6.08
Striking Accuracy 59% 51%

 

When it comes to wrestling, Mike Rodriguez is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.20 times per 3 rds. Rodriguez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of his attempts and thwarting 41% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Nchukwi is taking his opponents down on 25% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Rodriguez is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Nchukwi looks to get 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Mike Rodriguez faced Danilo Marques and ended up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Marques landed 55 of 58 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Rodriguez finished this fight landing 34 of 43 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Marques ended up landing 29 of 29, which gave him a rate of 100%. He finished the fight landing 27 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Rodriguez ended up landing 66% of his significant strikes by sticking 16 of 24. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 3 of 7 pointed at the head. 6% of the significant strikes connected on by Marques and 68% of them landed by Rodriguez were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tafon Nchukwi, he fought Junyong Park and wound up walking away in defeat by way of majority decision in round 3. Park landed 67% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Nchukwi ended up connecting on 87% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nchukwi ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 58 of 136. He ended up connecting on 20 of 83 significant strikes directed at the head. Park landed 71 of 145 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 61 of 134 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Park was 79 of 155 while Nchukwi ended up landing 64 of 144 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Nate Maness faces off against Tony Gravely. Maness looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Gravely comes in at 5'5" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 21-6-0. The 29-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Nate Maness takes his opponents down 1.33 times per 15 minutes while Tony Gravely is averaging a takedown 6.11 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Maness tags his opponents 2.40 strikes per min and is landing 45% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Tony Gravely, who tags his opponent on 54% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 4.01 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Rong Zhu is set to encounter Dakota Bush. Bush walks into the Octagon holding a record of 8-3-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Zhu comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 17-4-0. The 21-year-old stretches 71". Regarding wrestling, Dakota Bush is thwarting 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 16% of his attempts. Zhu is taking his opponents to the mat on 75% of his tries and is able to curb 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Bush absorbs 4.47 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 2.73 strikes/minute. Zhu, on the contrary, is taking 6.40 strikes per minute and is connecting on 2.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Mike Rodriguez (+106)

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