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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Mike Rodriguez vs Danilo Marques Pick, 2/6/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 18 Odds

Mike Rodriguez vs Danilo Marques Pick, 2/6/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 18 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/4/2021

Mike Rodriguez UFC

Free Picks

Mike Rodriguez vs Danilo Marques

UFC Vegas 18

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Mike Rodriguez will face off against Danilo Marques at UFC Vegas 18 on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The opening moneyline has Rodriguez at -235 while Marques is priced at +195.

Mike "Slo Mike" Rodriguez will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-5-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 82". Danilo Marques measures 6'6" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 10-2-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Mike Rodriguez connects on 5.19 per min while Danilo Marques lands 1.07 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez is connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he tries and Marques lands 72%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Slo Mike" takes 3.47 significant strikes per minute while Marques takes 1.27. Rodriguez also deflects 44% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Marques is able to deflect 58% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 18 Mike Rodriguez Danilo Marques
Opening Odds -235 +195
Record 11-5-0 10-2-0
Average Fight Time 7:19 15:00
Height 6'4" 6'6"
Weight 205 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 82" 77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.19 1.07
Striking Accuracy 59% 72%

 

Regarding grappling, Mike Rodriguez is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. Rodriguez is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and is stopping 40% of all takedown attempts. Marques is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of his takedown attempts and defending 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Rodriguez is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Marques looks to get 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

In his previous fight, Mike Rodriguez faced Ed Herman and ended up losing the fight by a kimura from half guard in round 3. Herman ended up landing 51 of 84 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Rodriguez walked away from this fight having landed 114 of 149 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Herman landed 40 of 73, which gave him a rate of 54%. He ended up landing 14 of 41 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Rodriguez ended up landing 71% of his significant strikes by connecting on 89 of 124. Of those significant strikes, he was 42 of 66 pointed at the head. 47% of the significant strikes connected on by Herman and 38% of them connected on by Rodriguez were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Danilo Marques, he fought Khadis Ibragimov and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Ibragimov landed 63% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Marques landed 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Marques ended up landing 72% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 16 of 22. He ended up connecting on 7 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. Ibragimov landed 19 of 46 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 43 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Ibragimov was 36 of 65 while Marques connected on 19 of 26 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Timur Valiev faces off with Martin Day. Valiev walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Day stands 5'10" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 8-5-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 73". In terms of takedowns, Timur Valiev takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Martin Day is averaging a takedown 0.95 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Valiev connects on 9.45 strikes per minute and landing 70% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Martin Day, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 5.06 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Justin Jaynes is set to square up in the Octagon against Devonte Smith. Smith looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Jaynes measures in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-6-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 68". Concerning grappling, Devonte Smith defends against 70% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his tries. Jaynes is taking his opponents down on 38% of his tries and prevents 50% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Smith is taking 3.65 strikes/min and he is dealing 6.88 per min. Jaynes, in contrast, is absorbing 7.82 strikes per min and is dealing 4.79 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Mike Rodriguez (-235)

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