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Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams Pick, 11/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 42 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/8/2021

ufc picks Miguel Baeza predictions best bet odds

Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams

UFC Vegas 42

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 13, 2021

Miguel Baeza will enter the Octagon with Khaos Williams at UFC Vegas 42 on Saturday, November 13, 2021. The opener has Baeza at -145 while Williams is at +125.

Thiago Moises will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Joel "El Fenomeno" Alvarez stands in at 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of significant strikes, Miguel Baeza is landing 5.30 per minute while Khaos Williams connects on 5.20 significant strikes per minute. Baeza is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Williams connects on 38%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Caramel Thunder" takes 5.09 significant strikes per min and "The OxFighter" allows 3.59. Baeza also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Williams thwarts 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 42 Miguel Baeza Khaos Williams
Opening Odds -145 +125
Record 10-1-0 12-2-0
Average Fight Time 10:28 7:44
Height 6'2" 6'0"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 74" 77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.30 5.20
Striking Accuracy 49% 38%

 

Regarding grappling, Miguel Baeza is the more efficient wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.57 times per 3 rounds. Baeza is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of the times he tries and thwarting 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Williams is scoring a takedown on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 30% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Baeza is the more apt fighter by going for 0.9 subs per 15 min while Williams attempts 0.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Miguel Baeza faced Santiago Ponzinibbio and walked away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Ponzinibbio landed 122 of 271 total strikes attempted in that fight. Baeza ended the night having landed 104 of 249 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Ponzinibbio ended up landing 121 of 270, which means his percentage was 44%. He ended up landing 98 of 245 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Baeza ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by landing 104 of 249. Out of those significant strikes, he was 36 of 166 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Ponzinibbio and 100% of them landed by Baeza were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Khaos Williams, he faced off with Matthew Semelsberger and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Semelsberger landed 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Williams ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Williams ended up connecting on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 91 of 260. He ended up connecting on 44 of 195 significant strikes aimed at the head. Semelsberger ended up landing 64 of 141 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 42 of 116 directed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Semelsberger ended up connecting on 68 of 146 and Williams ended up landing 114 of 286 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Sean Woodson faces off against Collin Anglin. Woodson comes into this fight holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Anglin measures in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 8-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When it comes to grappling, Sean Woodson takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 15 minutes and Collin Anglin scores a takedown 2.75 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Woodson lands an average of 5.27 strikes per minute and is landing 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Collin Anglin, who is connecting on 54% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 5.18 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Rafael Alves is set to go up against Marc Diakiese. Diakiese steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Alves measures 5'8" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 19-10-0. The 31-year-old reaches 68". In terms of wrestling, Marc Diakiese is able to thwart 62% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his attempts. Alves is finishing his takedowns on 30% of his attempts and is able to deflect 50% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Diakiese absorbs 2.79 strikes/min and he is dealing 3.08 strikes per min. Alves, moreover, absorbs 3.71 strikes per min and connects on 2.01 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Khaos Williams (+125)

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